MLB · NL Central

Michael Busch

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs1BBats: L · Throws: R
FormColdPowerAbove avg

The read

Above-average power. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Michael Busch has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    60%73%63%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    0%17%20%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%17%11%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    20%40%35%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    10%23%20%
  • Over 3.5
    10%17%15%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.239↓

OBP

.368

SLG

.391

OPS

.759

HR

9

K%

22%

Last 10: 7-for-40 (.175) · 2 HR · 10 K · 10 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 353 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.384
65
Avg Exit V
88.2 mph
46
Barrel %
11.4%
78
Hard-Hit %
47.9%
55
Chase %
23.9%
83
Whiff %
23.8%
43
K %
22.4%
47
BB %
15.0%
98

Where he hits it

12%LF19%LCF19%CF16%RCF27%RFPull →

41%

Pull

31%

Center

28%

Oppo

Pull-air 19% of BIP · 95.2 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.707OPS106 PA
vs RHP.781OPS247 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · last 30 days · vs right-handed pitchers

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Slider15.300.300.33837.5%26.7%16.7%0.0%73.3 mph3.0°
Sinker7.250.250.58414.3%0.0%25.0%0.0%88.3 mph-5.3°
Cutter6.167.167.21118.2%33.3%50.0%0.0%85.3 mph-5.8°
Curveball5.750.750.36511.1%20.0%33.3%0.0%93.8 mph6.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.326
xSLG
.587
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
108.7
EV90
102.2
Launch angle
14.4°
Sweet-spot%
36.0%
Avg distance
279 ft
EV on barrels
102.9
EV on hard-hit
100.4
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
61.5%
O-Contact%
53.8%
Z-Contact%
86.7%
Contact%
76.2%
SwStr%
9.7%
CSW%
26.4%
In-zone%
45.3%
1st-pitch swing%
31.2%
2-strike K%
43.4%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.337
7d K%
19.2%
7d Barrel%
6.3%
7d Whiff%
18.2%
14d xwOBA(con)
.389
14d K%
17.5%
14d Barrel%
11.8%
30d xwOBA(con)
.370
30d K%
23.3%
30d Barrel%
7.2%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.434
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.442
Behind xwOBA(con)
.323
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.385
Ahead Whiff%
21.3%
2-strike Whiff%
25.7%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.344
RISP
.406
Loaded
.465
High leverage
.396
Clutch
.378
Innings 1-3
.343
Innings 4-6
.450
Innings 7+
.360

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Michael Busch OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs · Jun 19, 2026 · +178

LOSS

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