MLB · NL Central

Michael Busch

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs1BBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

Above-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Michael Busch has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%70%65%
Over 1.5▲ hot
30%23%21%
Over 2.5
10%10%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
0%13%12%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
30%37%35%
Over 2.5
20%30%23%
Over 3.5▼ cold
0%20%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.240

OBP

.353

SLG

.385

OPS

.738

23%

Last 10: 10-for-46 (.217) · 0 HR · 8 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 501 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.369

Avg Exit V

88.3 mph

Barrel %

9.3%

Hard-Hit %

44.5%

Chase %

25.1%

Whiff %

23.7%

K %

22.6%

BB %

13.2%

Where he hits it

44%

Pull

28%

Center

28%

Oppo

Pull-air 24% of BIP · 95.8 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.734OPS145 PA

vs RHP.740OPS356 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	167	.215	.374	.328	11.3%	16.2%	39.6%	10.4%	90.5 mph	21.6°
Slider	94	.276	.409	.299	34.7%	29.8%	41.2%	5.1%	85.4 mph	10.5°
Sinker	85	.271	.432	.449	13.6%	10.6%	43.4%	15.5%	88.2 mph	4.0°
Changeup	78	.186	.229	.226	43.4%	38.5%	23.3%	2.3%	83.7 mph	3.0°
Cutter	29	.269	.684	.440	14.3%	17.2%	50.5%	15.5%	93.7 mph	25.3°
Curveball	28	.350	.400	.397	33.3%	28.6%	41.7%	8.3%	86.8 mph	6.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.320

xSLG

.556

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

109.2

EV90

102.0

Launch angle

14.3°

Sweet-spot%

36.8%

Avg distance

290 ft

EV on barrels

102.8

EV on hard-hit

100.2

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

64.4%

O-Contact%

54.1%

Z-Contact%

86.2%

Contact%

76.3%

SwStr%

10.3%

CSW%

26.4%

In-zone%

46.6%

1st-pitch swing%

34.1%

2-strike K%

43.6%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.299

7d K%

12.5%

7d Barrel%

3.7%

7d Whiff%

16.7%

14d xwOBA(con)

.330

14d K%

22.6%

14d Barrel%

4.4%

30d xwOBA(con)

.356

30d K%

21.8%

30d Barrel%

3.9%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.400

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.415

Behind xwOBA(con)

.343

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.357

Ahead Whiff%

22.4%

2-strike Whiff%

24.2%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.339

RISP

.373

Loaded

.397

High leverage

.368

Clutch

.312

Innings 1-3

.373

Innings 4-6

.388

Innings 7+

.347

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Michael Busch OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs · Jun 19, 2026 · +178

LOSS

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.