MLB · AL Central
Miguel Vargas
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

The read
Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.
Prop hit rates
How often Miguel Vargas has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.570%57%64%
- Over 1.5▼ cold10%17%20%
- Over 2.50%7%5%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▲ hot30%17%20%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.5▲ hot50%43%39%
- Over 2.530%23%25%
- Over 3.530%20%22%
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At a glance
AVG
.237↓
OBP
.340
SLG
.475
OPS
.814
HR
24
K%
18%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 489 PA.
Where he hits it
47%
Pull
29%
Center
24%
Oppo
Pull-air 34% of BIP · 97.5 mph · 36° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
5 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands
| Pitch | PA↑ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 5 | .200 | .200 | .514 | 45.7% | 20.0% | 60.0% | 40.0% | 83.3 mph | 4.0° |
| Curveball | 6 | .000 | .000 | .368 | 13.1% | 16.7% | 66.7% | 0.0% | 95.6 mph | 13.3° |
| Slider | 12 | .292 | .389 | .353 | 26.4% | 8.3% | 36.1% | 19.4% | 94.2 mph | 20.5° |
| Sinker | 27 | .208 | .580 | .328 | 6.3% | 22.2% | 40.5% | 13.7% | 86.6 mph | 30.4° |
| Four-seam | 37 | .176 | .353 | .288 | 24.0% | 24.3% | 59.6% | 8.4% | 95.0 mph | 25.8° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.
Recent SkegBets picks
Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Total Bases
Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays · Jul 31, 2026 · +130
Miguel Vargas UNDER 0.5 Hits
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Miguel Vargas UNDER 0.5 Hits
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Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Total Bases
Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees · Jun 17, 2026 · +140
Miguel Vargas OVER 0.5 HR
Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies · Jun 5, 2026 · +460