MLB · NL Central

Mitch Keller

Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups

Pittsburgh PiratesSPBats: R · Throws: R

FormColdStuffAverage

The read

A pitch-to-contact profile.

Strikeout prop

How often Mitch Keller has cleared each strikeout line over his last 5 and 10 starts and the season.

Strikeouts

share of starts cleared

L5L10Season

Over 4.5▼ cold
20%30%33%
Over 5.5
20%20%19%
Over 6.5
0%10%5%
Over 7.5
0%0%0%

Research any pitcher with the prop-research tool.

On the mound

This season

ERA

5.29

WHIP

1.37

FIP

4.34

xERA

5.10

6-7 · 22 GS · 115.7 IP · 89 K · 42 BB · 15 HR

MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP

Last 5 starts

ERA

7.17

K/9

6.8

FIP

6.53

21.3 IP · 17 ER · 16 K · 9 BB

@WSH 6IP 5ER 1K
vATL 3IP 3ER 3K
@NYY 5IP 0ER 6K
vAZ 5.1IP 2ER 4K
@CIN 2IP 7ER 2K

Opponent splits

Stat	vs Lefties	vs Righties
Opp BA	.257	.174
K%	17%	20%
HR allowed	11	2
Sample	315 BF	172 BF

Quality of stuff

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 115.7 IP.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

ERA

5.29

FIP

4.34

xERA

5.10

WHIP

1.37

K %

18.8%

SwStr %

8.5%

Chase %

29.6%

Barrel %

7.0%

Attack zones

23%

Heart

41%

Shadow

25%

Chase

11%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 6.6 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA

4-Seam

32%

Sinker

17%

Cutter

Slider

Curve

Change

Other

16%

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Break	Zone%	SwStr%	xwOBA
4-Seam	31.7%	93.4	2364	1.4	54.7%	7.5%	.371
Sinker	17.4%	92.3	2374	2.0	56.8%	5.4%	.402
Slider	9.3%	87.3	2524	2.9	48.8%	10.6%	.384
Change	9.1%	88.8	1540	2.7	42.8%	10.8%	.455
Curve	8.9%	77.9	2650	4.9	32.1%	11.7%	.432
Cutter	7.5%	89.8	2487	2.0	45.3%	10.2%	.370

Based on 1,819 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.328

1st-pitch strike%

60.2%

Putaway%

36.8%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

5.18

L5 FIP

4.50

L5 K/9

6.7

L5 BB/9

2.2

L5 HR/9

1.5

Pitches/start

86.6

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.362

vs RHB xwOBA

.267

1st time xwOBA

.249

2nd time xwOBA

.370

3rd time xwOBA

.392

Inn 1-3 ERA

3.92

Inn 4-6 ERA

4.49

Inn 7+ ERA

7.58

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.256

7d K%

22.7%

7d velo

88.8

14d xwOBA

.256

14d K%

22.7%

30d xwOBA

.344

30d K%

16.7%

30d velo

88.2

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.