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MLB · NL Central

Nathaniel Lowe

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cincinnati RedsDHBats: L · Throws: R
FormHotPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nathaniel Lowe has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    70%63%55%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%27%22%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    20%7%2%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    0%10%13%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    60%47%37%
  • Over 2.5
    30%23%23%
  • Over 3.5
    10%13%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.263↑

OBP

.335

SLG

.474

OPS

.809

HR

12

K%

25%

Last 10: 15-for-43 (.349) · 1 HR · 8 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 278 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.441
92
Avg Exit V
89.8 mph
72
Barrel %
9.6%
69
Hard-Hit %
47.8%
58
Chase %
27.0%
71
Whiff %
18.8%
76
K %
25.2%
32
BB %
9.7%
66

Where he hits it

10%LF15%LCF19%CF20%RCF24%RFPull →

46%

Pull

31%

Center

23%

Oppo

Pull-air 36% of BIP · 96.3 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.203OPS25 PA
vs RHP.871OPS253 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

3 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter17.5001.250.5578.8%17.6%61.5%38.5%94.0 mph18.5°
Slider28.259.556.21028.8%46.4%40.0%13.3%92.3 mph17.0°
Four-seam102.245.319.32515.9%24.5%32.0%5.3%86.4 mph13.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.386
xSLG
.651
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
112.7
EV90
106.8
Launch angle
13.5°
Sweet-spot%
40.5%
Avg distance
358 ft
EV on barrels
105.0
EV on hard-hit
102.8
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
65.1%
O-Contact%
65.2%
Z-Contact%
88.2%
Contact%
81.2%
SwStr%
8.5%
CSW%
27.1%
In-zone%
48.6%
1st-pitch swing%
24.5%
2-strike K%
44.2%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.443
7d K%
22.2%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
20.4%
14d xwOBA(con)
.412
14d K%
17.8%
14d Barrel%
2.9%
30d xwOBA(con)
.433
30d K%
23.1%
30d Barrel%
6.4%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.332
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.527
Behind xwOBA(con)
.423
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.373
Ahead Whiff%
14.3%
2-strike Whiff%
20.8%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.330
RISP
.436
Loaded
.430
High leverage
.381
Clutch
.396
Innings 1-3
.441
Innings 4-6
.450
Innings 7+
.429

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nathaniel Lowe OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 31, 2026 · +178

WIN

Nathaniel Lowe OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 30, 2026 · +152

WIN

Nathaniel Lowe OVER 0.5 Hits

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets · May 27, 2026 · -155

WIN

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Learn the betting side

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