MLB · NL Central

Nelson Velázquez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

St. Louis CardinalsOFBats: R · Throws: R

FormCold

Prop hit rates

How often Nelson Velázquez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
20%33%38%
Over 1.5▼ cold
0%7%9%
Over 2.5
0%0%0%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
0%10%12%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
10%23%24%
Over 2.5▼ cold
0%13%15%
Over 3.5▼ cold
0%10%12%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.216↓

OBP

.289

SLG

.432

OPS

.722

30%

Last 10: 2-for-19 (.105) · 0 HR · 11 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Where he hits it

46%

Pull

34%

Center

20%

Oppo

Pull-air 24% of BIP · 100.3 mph · 40° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.758OPS63 PA

vs RHP.616OPS20 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	5	.400	1.200	.609	28.6%	0.0%	80.0%	20.0%	98.7 mph	16.4°
Curveball	7	.200	.400	.421	25.0%	28.6%	100.0%	0.0%	99.0 mph	13.7°
Changeup	8	.000	.000	.065	48.0%	62.5%	66.7%	0.0%	91.6 mph	16.3°
Slider	9	.250	.250	.410	27.8%	33.3%	80.0%	20.0%	98.3 mph	16.4°
Sinker	10	.375	.750	.536	12.5%	0.0%	66.7%	11.1%	97.5 mph	3.0°
Four-seam	31	.186	.482	.349	31.8%	35.5%	58.1%	22.6%	96.6 mph	26.1°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.400

xSLG

.778

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

110.4

EV90

104.8

Launch angle

16.0°

Sweet-spot%

44.0%

Avg distance

322 ft

EV on barrels

105.1

EV on hard-hit

101.4

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

69.4%

O-Contact%

37.7%

Z-Contact%

78.4%

Contact%

65.2%

SwStr%

17.5%

CSW%

32.5%

In-zone%

49.1%

1st-pitch swing%

41.0%

2-strike K%

54.4%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.627

7d K%

50.0%

7d Barrel%

50.0%

7d Whiff%

50.0%

14d xwOBA(con)

.477

14d K%

35.7%

14d Barrel%

12.5%

30d xwOBA(con)

.482

30d K%

45.2%

30d Barrel%

12.5%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.494

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.531

Behind xwOBA(con)

.520

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.586

Ahead Whiff%

29.3%

2-strike Whiff%

26.3%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.315

RISP

.285

Loaded

.140

High leverage

.337

Clutch

.779

Innings 1-3

.477

Innings 4-6

.532

Innings 7+

.458

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.