MLB · AL East

Nick Fortes

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Tampa Bay RaysCBats: R · Throws: R

FormHotPowerBelow avg

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nick Fortes has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
70%53%60%
Over 1.5▲ hot
30%17%13%
Over 2.5▲ hot
20%7%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
20%10%5%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
50%23%25%
Over 2.5▲ hot
30%13%10%
Over 3.5▲ hot
30%13%7%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.272↑

OBP

.313

SLG

.378

OPS

.691

12%

Last 10: 13-for-31 (.419) · 2 HR · 2 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 262 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.297

Avg Exit V

84.7 mph

Barrel %

2.3%

Hard-Hit %

46.1%

Chase %

38.2%

Whiff %

14.8%

K %

12.2%

BB %

2.7%

Where he hits it

53%

Pull

22%

Center

25%

Oppo

Pull-air 41% of BIP · 88.8 mph · 39° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.671OPS125 PA

vs RHP.708OPS137 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

2 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Slider	52	.140	.244	.228	25.5%	13.5%	22.3%	2.2%	84.7 mph	10.3°
Sinker	63	.270	.405	.335	4.7%	7.9%	34.9%	6.9%	84.1 mph	-3.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.292

xSLG

.398

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

108.9

EV90

103.3

Launch angle

6.3°

Sweet-spot%

25.1%

Avg distance

223 ft

EV on barrels

102.4

EV on hard-hit

101.9

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

68.8%

O-Contact%

76.1%

Z-Contact%

90.7%

Contact%

85.2%

SwStr%

7.8%

CSW%

23.1%

In-zone%

47.5%

1st-pitch swing%

33.6%

2-strike K%

29.1%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.439

7d K%

10.0%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

6.7%

14d xwOBA(con)

.410

14d K%

9.5%

14d Barrel%

0.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.381

30d K%

13.7%

30d Barrel%

4.9%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.286

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.318

Behind xwOBA(con)

.310

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.290

Ahead Whiff%

9.8%

2-strike Whiff%

14.9%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.313

RISP

.336

Loaded

.269

High leverage

.325

Clutch

.317

Innings 1-3

.290

Innings 4-6

.285

Innings 7+

.317

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nick Fortes OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays · Jul 29, 2026 · -145

LOSS

Nick Fortes OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays · Jul 11, 2026 · -110

WIN

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