MLB · AL Central

Nick Loftin

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Kansas City Royals3B · SPBats: R · Throws: R

FormHotPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nick Loftin has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
80%53%52%
Over 1.5
20%20%16%
Over 2.5
0%10%6%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%10%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%30%33%
Over 2.5
20%17%19%
Over 3.5
10%10%8%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.245↑

OBP

.327

SLG

.397

OPS

.724

14%

Last 10: 10-for-31 (.323) · 1 HR · 6 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 257 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.306

Avg Exit V

85.8 mph

Barrel %

4.7%

Hard-Hit %

33.0%

Chase %

25.2%

Whiff %

15.1%

K %

13.6%

BB %

9.3%

Where he hits it

49%

Pull

29%

Center

23%

Oppo

Pull-air 34% of BIP · 93.4 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.789OPS109 PA

vs RHP.677OPS148 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

1 pitch · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	13	.167	.417	.328	16.7%	0.0%	50.0%	7.1%	87.0 mph	13.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.291

xSLG

.428

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

110.8

EV90

99.8

Launch angle

11.1°

Sweet-spot%

37.2%

Avg distance

240 ft

EV on barrels

101.3

EV on hard-hit

99.7

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

58.9%

O-Contact%

67.2%

Z-Contact%

92.6%

Contact%

84.9%

SwStr%

6.3%

CSW%

26.8%

In-zone%

49.6%

1st-pitch swing%

20.5%

2-strike K%

29.4%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.352

7d K%

22.7%

7d Barrel%

6.7%

7d Whiff%

17.1%

14d xwOBA(con)

.317

14d K%

17.8%

14d Barrel%

2.9%

30d xwOBA(con)

.302

30d K%

15.1%

30d Barrel%

1.5%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.282

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.329

Behind xwOBA(con)

.309

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.290

Ahead Whiff%

9.0%

2-strike Whiff%

19.9%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.323

RISP

.372

Loaded

.465

High leverage

.338

Clutch

.320

Innings 1-3

.328

Innings 4-6

.273

Innings 7+

.324

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Attack zones

13%

Heart

50%

Shadow

25%

Chase

13%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 4.9 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA

Slider

25%

Curve

13%

Other

63%

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Break	Zone%	SwStr%	xwOBA
Slider	25.0%	49.4	1124	7.9	0.0%	0.0%	—
Curve	12.5%	44.2	1010	10.4	0.0%	0.0%	—

Based on 8 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.300

1st-pitch strike%

33.3%

Putaway%

0.0%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

0.00

L5 FIP

3.10

L5 K/9

0.0

L5 BB/9

0.0

L5 HR/9

0.0

IP/start

0.7

Pitches/start

8.0

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.900

vs RHB xwOBA

.000

1st time xwOBA

.300

Inn 7+ ERA

3.90

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.300

7d K%

0.0%

7d velo

56.3

14d xwOBA

.300

14d K%

0.0%

30d xwOBA

.300

30d K%

0.0%

30d velo

56.3

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nick Loftin OVER 0.5 Hits

Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets · Jul 8, 2026 · -148

WIN

Nick Loftin OVER 1.5 Total Bases

St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals · Jun 18, 2026 · +175

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