MLB · NL Central

Nico Hoerner

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs2BBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nico Hoerner has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    50%60%68%
  • Over 1.5
    20%13%20%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    20%7%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    0%0%5%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%27%34%
  • Over 2.5
    20%7%13%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    20%7%9%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.236↓

OBP

.313

SLG

.339

OPS

.652

HR

4

K%

7%

Last 10: 9-for-48 (.188) · 0 HR · 7 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 364 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.305
14
Avg Exit V
85.5 mph
19
Barrel %
1.0%
3
Hard-Hit %
30.1%
6
Chase %
30.1%
48
Whiff %
10.4%
98
K %
7.4%
100
BB %
9.3%
61

Where he hits it

19%LF22%LCF21%CF17%RCF16%RF← Pull

35%

Pull

34%

Center

31%

Oppo

Pull-air 22% of BIP · 85.6 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.813OPS98 PA
vs RHP.590OPS266 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Sinker80.229.322.3272.3%5.0%29.9%0.0%85.9 mph2.9°
Slider69.379.539.33714.5%4.3%26.4%1.5%84.7 mph10.9°
Cutter27.386.477.37414.5%7.4%28.4%0.0%87.5 mph20.9°
Curveball19.123.175.30512.6%15.8%10.5%0.0%82.8 mph11.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.314
xSLG
.398
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
105.8
EV90
100.2
Launch angle
12.4°
Sweet-spot%
37.1%
Avg distance
254 ft
EV on barrels
98.7
EV on hard-hit
99.1
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
58.1%
O-Contact%
77.4%
Z-Contact%
96.5%
Contact%
89.5%
SwStr%
4.5%
CSW%
24.4%
In-zone%
47.6%
1st-pitch swing%
19.0%
2-strike K%
17.6%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.276
7d K%
7.4%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
14.8%
14d xwOBA(con)
.267
14d K%
13.5%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.294
30d K%
6.3%
30d Barrel%
0.0%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.331
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.292
Behind xwOBA(con)
.287
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.282
Ahead Whiff%
8.0%
2-strike Whiff%
8.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.302
RISP
.291
Loaded
.169
High leverage
.320
Clutch
.294
Innings 1-3
.289
Innings 4-6
.320
Innings 7+
.308

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nico Hoerner OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs · Jun 16, 2026 · +165

LOSS

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