MLB · AL Central

Parker Messick

Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups

Cleveland GuardiansSPBats: L · Throws: L

FormSteadyStuffAbove avg

The read

Above-average strikeout stuff, with strong underlying run prevention.

Strikeout prop

How often Parker Messick has cleared each strikeout line over his last 5 and 10 starts and the season.

Strikeouts

share of starts cleared

L5L10Season

Over 4.5▼ cold
60%50%71%
Over 5.5▼ cold
40%40%57%
Over 6.5▼ cold
0%20%29%
Over 7.5▼ cold
0%20%19%

Research any pitcher with the prop-research tool.

On the mound

This season

ERA

2.59

WHIP

1.04

FIP

3.16

xERA

3.14

8-6 · 21 GS · 125.3 IP · 122 K · 36 BB · 11 HR

MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP

Last 5 starts

ERA

2.32

K/9

6.1

FIP

3.26

31.0 IP · 8 ER · 21 K · 7 BB

vTEX 6.2IP 4ER 5K
vCWS 5IP 1ER 3K
@MIA 6IP 1ER 1K
vMIN 5.2IP 1ER 6K
@TB 7.2IP 1ER 6K

Opponent splits

Stat	vs Lefties	vs Righties
Opp BA	.222	.177
K%	21%	26%
HR allowed	2	9
Sample	135 BF	361 BF

Quality of stuff

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 125.3 IP.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

ERA

2.59

FIP

3.16

xERA

3.14

WHIP

1.04

K %

24.3%

SwStr %

10.3%

Chase %

31.7%

Barrel %

6.2%

Attack zones

22%

Heart

38%

Shadow

24%

Chase

15%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 6.5 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA

4-Seam

37%

Sinker

17%

Cutter

Slider

Curve

11%

Change

23%

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Break	Zone%	SwStr%	xwOBA
4-Seam	36.7%	94.1	2157	1.2	56.6%	11.8%	.287
Change	23.4%	85.8	1844	3.0	29.4%	18.9%	.334
Sinker	16.9%	92.5	2049	1.8	58.3%	3.7%	.363
Curve	10.6%	79.1	2283	4.2	43.4%	2.5%	.305
Cutter	6.2%	90.7	2129	1.9	39.5%	9.2%	.393
Slider	6.1%	87.1	2344	2.6	39.3%	11.1%	.424

Based on 1,923 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.273

1st-pitch strike%

59.8%

Putaway%

46.7%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

2.64

L5 FIP

3.26

L5 K/9

6.2

L5 BB/9

2.1

L5 HR/9

0.6

Pitches/start

91.6

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.301

vs RHB xwOBA

.262

1st time xwOBA

.214

2nd time xwOBA

.298

3rd time xwOBA

.317

Inn 1-3 ERA

2.82

Inn 4-6 ERA

4.20

Inn 7+ ERA

4.08

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.229

7d K%

23.5%

7d velo

92.3

14d xwOBA

.229

14d K%

23.5%

30d xwOBA

.269

30d K%

16.9%

30d velo

91.3

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.