MLB · AL East

Payton Tolle

Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups

Boston Red SoxSPBats: L · Throws: L

FormColdStuffAbove avg

The read

Above-average strikeout stuff, with strong underlying run prevention.

Strikeout prop

How often Payton Tolle has cleared each strikeout line over his last 5 and 10 starts and the season.

Strikeouts

share of starts cleared

L5L10Season

Over 4.5▲ hot
100%80%71%
Over 5.5▲ hot
80%60%59%
Over 6.5▲ hot
60%40%47%
Over 7.5
20%10%24%

Research any pitcher with the prop-research tool.

On the mound

This season

ERA

3.32

WHIP

1.11

FIP

3.29

xERA

2.91

6-6 · 17 GS · 95.0 IP · 103 K · 27 BB · 11 HR

MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP

Last 5 starts

ERA

4.94

K/9

12.9

FIP

3.86

23.7 IP · 13 ER · 34 K · 7 BB

vWSH 3IP 6ER 5K
@CWS 6IP 0ER 6K
@NYM 3.2IP 1ER 7K
vBAL 5.2IP 4ER 9K
@ATH 5.1IP 2ER 7K

Opponent splits

Stat	vs Lefties	vs Righties
Opp BA	.231	.188
K%	17%	31%
HR allowed	5	6
Sample	117 BF	272 BF

Quality of stuff

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 95.0 IP.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

ERA

3.32

FIP

3.29

xERA

2.91

WHIP

1.11

K %

26.4%

SwStr %

12.6%

Chase %

35.0%

Barrel %

7.0%

Attack zones

27%

Heart

42%

Shadow

23%

Chase

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 7.3 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA

4-Seam

47%

Sinker

22%

Cutter

19%

Curve

Change

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Break	Zone%	SwStr%	xwOBA
4-Seam	47.4%	96.0	2254	1.2	53.7%	13.8%	.335
Sinker	22.2%	95.0	2261	1.8	58.7%	5.9%	.309
Cutter	19.2%	88.3	2361	2.4	52.7%	16.9%	.325
Curve	7.9%	82.5	2419	3.8	41.2%	21.1%	.315
Change	3.3%	88.5	1005	2.8	39.6%	10.4%	.335

Based on 1,450 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.300

1st-pitch strike%

62.8%

Putaway%

49.5%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

3.91

L5 FIP

3.88

L5 K/9

13.3

L5 BB/9

2.7

L5 HR/9

2.0

Pitches/start

85.3

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.328

vs RHB xwOBA

.288

1st time xwOBA

.290

2nd time xwOBA

.322

3rd time xwOBA

.289

Inn 1-3 ERA

3.72

Inn 4-6 ERA

4.34

Inn 7+ ERA

1.30

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.377

7d K%

31.8%

7d velo

92.5

14d xwOBA

.397

14d K%

32.6%

30d xwOBA

.371

30d K%

32.4%

30d velo

92.7

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.