MLB · NL West

Rafael Devers

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

San Francisco Giants1BBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Rafael Devers has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%63%64%
Over 1.5
30%27%26%
Over 2.5▲ hot
20%10%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
20%27%18%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%40%41%
Over 2.5
30%33%29%
Over 3.5
20%27%22%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.241

OBP

.308

SLG

.472

OPS

.780

28%

Last 10: 8-for-37 (.216) · 2 HR · 9 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 455 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.414

Avg Exit V

92.3 mph

Barrel %

11.3%

Hard-Hit %

58.5%

Chase %

29.3%

Whiff %

27.2%

K %

27.7%

BB %

8.8%

Where he hits it

42%

Pull

31%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 25% of BIP · 97.1 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.545OPS140 PA

vs RHP.886OPS315 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	6	.167	.167	.297	22.2%	16.7%	40.0%	0.0%	93.9 mph	14.2°
Changeup	7	.143	.143	.319	30.8%	28.6%	40.0%	20.0%	94.8 mph	11.6°
Sinker	36	.303	.455	.314	12.4%	11.1%	48.3%	6.9%	88.4 mph	3.6°
Four-seam	44	.128	.359	.305	45.7%	52.3%	64.7%	23.5%	96.4 mph	14.8°
Slider	46	.159	.204	.205	35.4%	30.4%	33.3%	3.3%	87.9 mph	23.1°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.335

xSLG

.654

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.5

EV90

107.1

Launch angle

14.0°

Sweet-spot%

33.5%

Avg distance

353 ft

EV on barrels

105.4

EV on hard-hit

102.3

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

68.4%

O-Contact%

64.3%

Z-Contact%

76.6%

Contact%

72.8%

SwStr%

13.1%

CSW%

28.4%

In-zone%

48.7%

1st-pitch swing%

24.2%

2-strike K%

46.5%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.446

7d K%

19.2%

7d Barrel%

11.8%

7d Whiff%

21.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.378

14d K%

28.8%

14d Barrel%

6.5%

30d xwOBA(con)

.432

30d K%

20.2%

30d Barrel%

10.6%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.528

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.428

Behind xwOBA(con)

.419

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.400

Ahead Whiff%

23.5%

2-strike Whiff%

24.8%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.368

RISP

.329

Loaded

.485

High leverage

.343

Clutch

.463

Innings 1-3

.374

Innings 4-6

.456

Innings 7+

.405

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Rafael Devers OVER 0.5 Hits

San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners · Jul 19, 2026 · -143

LOSS

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.