Skip to content

MLB · NL West

Rafael Devers

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

San Francisco Giants1BBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Rafael Devers has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    50%63%64%
  • Over 1.5
    30%27%26%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    20%10%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    20%27%18%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%40%41%
  • Over 2.5
    30%33%29%
  • Over 3.5
    20%27%22%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.245↑

OBP

.311

SLG

.472

OPS

.783

HR

22

K%

27%

Last 10: 10-for-36 (.278) · 2 HR · 5 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 463 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.414
83
Avg Exit V
92.1 mph
92
Barrel %
11.3%
82
Hard-Hit %
58.4%
92
Chase %
29.7%
54
Whiff %
26.6%
27
K %
27.2%
21
BB %
8.9%
56

Where he hits it

10%LF18%LCF17%CF21%RCF23%RFPull →

43%

Pull

31%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 96.5 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.557OPS145 PA
vs RHP.889OPS318 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

3 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter45.386.721.39724.9%15.6%43.8%9.6%93.3 mph15.3°
Changeup68.309.463.35818.1%13.2%47.2%9.0%92.2 mph11.3°
Four-seam169.218.523.33035.9%39.6%60.2%18.8%95.2 mph20.1°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.334
xSLG
.647
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
112.5
EV90
107.0
Launch angle
13.9°
Sweet-spot%
33.0%
Avg distance
356 ft
EV on barrels
105.3
EV on hard-hit
102.3
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
68.6%
O-Contact%
65.2%
Z-Contact%
77.0%
Contact%
73.4%
SwStr%
12.9%
CSW%
28.1%
In-zone%
48.7%
1st-pitch swing%
24.4%
2-strike K%
45.5%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.437
7d K%
13.8%
7d Barrel%
9.5%
7d Whiff%
17.1%
14d xwOBA(con)
.391
14d K%
21.8%
14d Barrel%
8.3%
30d xwOBA(con)
.424
30d K%
20.2%
30d Barrel%
10.3%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.503
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.427
Behind xwOBA(con)
.425
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.405
Ahead Whiff%
23.3%
2-strike Whiff%
23.7%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.371
RISP
.326
Loaded
.485
High leverage
.346
Clutch
.463
Innings 1-3
.384
Innings 4-6
.448
Innings 7+
.405

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Rafael Devers OVER 0.5 Hits

San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners · Jul 19, 2026 · -143

LOSS

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.