MLB · NL West

Rafael Devers

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

San Francisco Giants1BBats: L · Throws: R

FormHotPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Rafael Devers has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%63%64%
Over 1.5▲ hot
40%30%26%
Over 2.5▲ hot
20%10%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
20%27%18%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
50%40%41%
Over 2.5
30%33%29%
Over 3.5
20%27%22%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.248↑

OBP

.316

SLG

.479

OPS

.794

27%

Last 10: 12-for-36 (.333) · 3 HR · 6 K · 6 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 472 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.416

Avg Exit V

92.2 mph

Barrel %

11.1%

Hard-Hit %

58.6%

Chase %

29.8%

Whiff %

26.3%

K %

26.9%

BB %

9.1%

Where he hits it

42%

Pull

30%

Center

28%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 96.5 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.554OPS148 PA

vs RHP.906OPS324 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	20	.176	.353	.258	18.9%	25.0%	50.0%	0.0%	93.4 mph	-2.6°
Cutter	46	.375	.701	.399	24.6%	15.2%	42.5%	9.3%	93.3 mph	15.1°
Sinker	62	.311	.449	.311	10.6%	16.1%	55.7%	8.3%	90.3 mph	6.7°
Changeup	69	.319	.471	.360	17.5%	13.0%	48.1%	8.8%	92.4 mph	11.1°
Slider	91	.184	.386	.285	32.1%	28.6%	36.7%	10.0%	87.8 mph	19.3°
Four-seam	172	.222	.523	.334	35.3%	39.0%	61.1%	18.3%	95.3 mph	20.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.336

xSLG

.648

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.5

EV90

107.0

Launch angle

14.0°

Sweet-spot%

34.0%

Avg distance

356 ft

EV on barrels

105.3

EV on hard-hit

102.3

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

68.5%

O-Contact%

65.8%

Z-Contact%

77.4%

Contact%

73.7%

SwStr%

12.7%

CSW%

27.8%

In-zone%

48.4%

1st-pitch swing%

24.4%

2-strike K%

45.0%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.398

7d K%

13.3%

7d Barrel%

4.8%

7d Whiff%

12.2%

14d xwOBA(con)

.424

14d K%

12.7%

14d Barrel%

7.7%

30d xwOBA(con)

.405

30d K%

20.2%

30d Barrel%

8.6%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.498

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.432

Behind xwOBA(con)

.427

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.404

Ahead Whiff%

23.1%

2-strike Whiff%

23.7%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.378

RISP

.329

Loaded

.485

High leverage

.353

Clutch

.480

Innings 1-3

.386

Innings 4-6

.445

Innings 7+

.412

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Rafael Devers OVER 0.5 Hits

San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners · Jul 19, 2026 · -143

LOSS

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