MLB · NL West

Rafael Devers

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

San Francisco Giants1BBats: L · Throws: R

FormHotPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Rafael Devers has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%63%64%
Over 1.5▲ hot
40%30%26%
Over 2.5▲ hot
20%10%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
20%27%18%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
50%40%41%
Over 2.5
30%33%29%
Over 3.5
20%27%22%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.247↑

OBP

.314

SLG

.473

OPS

.787

27%

Last 10: 12-for-36 (.333) · 2 HR · 5 K · 6 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 468 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.417

Avg Exit V

92.2 mph

Barrel %

11.2%

Hard-Hit %

58.6%

Chase %

29.7%

Whiff %

26.4%

K %

26.9%

BB %

9.0%

Where he hits it

42%

Pull

31%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 96.5 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.553OPS146 PA

vs RHP.895OPS322 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

3 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	20	.176	.353	.258	18.9%	25.0%	50.0%	0.0%	93.4 mph	-2.6°
Changeup	68	.309	.463	.358	17.7%	13.2%	47.2%	9.0%	92.2 mph	11.3°
Slider	90	.184	.384	.280	32.4%	28.9%	36.7%	10.0%	87.8 mph	19.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.337

xSLG

.649

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.5

EV90

107.0

Launch angle

13.9°

Sweet-spot%

33.6%

Avg distance

355 ft

EV on barrels

105.3

EV on hard-hit

102.3

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

68.6%

O-Contact%

65.4%

Z-Contact%

77.2%

Contact%

73.6%

SwStr%

12.8%

CSW%

28.0%

In-zone%

48.7%

1st-pitch swing%

24.6%

2-strike K%

45.2%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.398

7d K%

13.3%

7d Barrel%

4.8%

7d Whiff%

14.5%

14d xwOBA(con)

.421

14d K%

16.4%

14d Barrel%

7.9%

30d xwOBA(con)

.432

30d K%

19.3%

30d Barrel%

9.7%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.498

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.432

Behind xwOBA(con)

.427

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.406

Ahead Whiff%

23.2%

2-strike Whiff%

23.7%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.373

RISP

.329

Loaded

.485

High leverage

.348

Clutch

.482

Innings 1-3

.386

Innings 4-6

.448

Innings 7+

.411

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Rafael Devers OVER 0.5 Hits

San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners · Jul 19, 2026 · -143

LOSS

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