MLB · NL West
Rafael Devers
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

The read
Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.
Prop hit rates
How often Rafael Devers has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.560%63%64%
- Over 1.530%27%26%
- Over 2.5▲ hot20%10%4%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.520%27%18%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.540%40%41%
- Over 2.530%33%29%
- Over 3.520%27%22%
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At a glance
AVG
.241
OBP
.308
SLG
.472
OPS
.780
HR
22
K%
28%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 455 PA.
Where he hits it
42%
Pull
31%
Center
27%
Oppo
Pull-air 25% of BIP · 97.1 mph · 35° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
5 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers
| Pitch | PA↓ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 61 | .328 | .500 | .363 | 16.7% | 11.5% | 48.1% | 7.7% | 92.0 mph | 11.2° |
| Slider | 42 | .216 | .595 | .343 | 30.2% | 28.6% | 39.3% | 14.3% | 87.8 mph | 16.7° |
| Cutter | 38 | .400 | .800 | .415 | 25.8% | 15.8% | 46.2% | 11.5% | 93.2 mph | 16.2° |
| Sinker | 23 | .273 | .409 | .296 | 9.6% | 26.1% | 70.6% | 11.8% | 96.7 mph | 10.8° |
| Curveball | 20 | .176 | .353 | .258 | 19.4% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 93.4 mph | -2.6° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.