MLB · NL West

Rafael Devers

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

San Francisco Giants1BBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Rafael Devers has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
50%63%64%
Over 1.5
30%27%26%
Over 2.5▲ hot
20%10%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
20%27%18%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%40%41%
Over 2.5
30%33%29%
Over 3.5
20%27%22%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.245↑

OBP

.311

SLG

.472

OPS

.783

27%

Last 10: 10-for-36 (.278) · 2 HR · 5 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 463 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.414

Avg Exit V

92.1 mph

Barrel %

11.3%

Hard-Hit %

58.4%

Chase %

29.7%

Whiff %

26.6%

K %

27.2%

BB %

8.9%

Where he hits it

43%

Pull

31%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 96.5 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.557OPS145 PA

vs RHP.889OPS318 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	125	.250	.580	.339	32.5%	35.2%	58.6%	17.1%	94.9 mph	21.4°
Changeup	61	.328	.500	.363	16.7%	11.5%	48.1%	7.7%	92.0 mph	11.2°
Slider	42	.216	.595	.343	30.2%	28.6%	39.3%	14.3%	87.8 mph	16.7°
Cutter	39	.419	.806	.412	25.4%	15.4%	44.4%	11.1%	93.2 mph	15.6°
Sinker	23	.273	.409	.296	9.4%	26.1%	70.6%	11.8%	96.7 mph	10.8°
Curveball	20	.176	.353	.258	18.9%	25.0%	50.0%	0.0%	93.4 mph	-2.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.334

xSLG

.647

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.5

EV90

107.0

Launch angle

13.9°

Sweet-spot%

33.0%

Avg distance

356 ft

EV on barrels

105.3

EV on hard-hit

102.3

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

68.6%

O-Contact%

65.2%

Z-Contact%

77.0%

Contact%

73.4%

SwStr%

12.9%

CSW%

28.1%

In-zone%

48.7%

1st-pitch swing%

24.4%

2-strike K%

45.5%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.437

7d K%

13.8%

7d Barrel%

9.5%

7d Whiff%

17.1%

14d xwOBA(con)

.391

14d K%

21.8%

14d Barrel%

8.3%

30d xwOBA(con)

.424

30d K%

20.2%

30d Barrel%

10.3%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.503

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.427

Behind xwOBA(con)

.425

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.405

Ahead Whiff%

23.3%

2-strike Whiff%

23.7%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.371

RISP

.326

Loaded

.485

High leverage

.346

Clutch

.463

Innings 1-3

.384

Innings 4-6

.448

Innings 7+

.405

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Rafael Devers OVER 0.5 Hits

San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners · Jul 19, 2026 · -143

LOSS

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