MLB · NL West
Rafael Devers
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

The read
Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.
Prop hit rates
How often Rafael Devers has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▼ cold50%63%64%
- Over 1.530%27%26%
- Over 2.5▲ hot20%10%4%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.520%27%18%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.540%40%41%
- Over 2.530%33%29%
- Over 3.520%27%22%
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At a glance
AVG
.245↑
OBP
.311
SLG
.472
OPS
.783
HR
22
K%
27%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 463 PA.
Where he hits it
43%
Pull
31%
Center
27%
Oppo
Pull-air 27% of BIP · 96.5 mph · 36° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
5 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands
| Pitch | PA↓ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam | 29 | .291 | .917 | .486 | 33.6% | 24.1% | 61.4% | 25.2% | 96.4 mph | 18.9° |
| Slider | 20 | .177 | .417 | .353 | 25.1% | 40.0% | 44.3% | 18.6% | 93.0 mph | 20.2° |
| Changeup | 15 | .385 | .462 | .398 | 20.0% | 13.3% | 45.5% | 0.0% | 90.8 mph | 27.4° |
| Cutter | 13 | .220 | .330 | .392 | 19.5% | 7.7% | 22.0% | 11.0% | 94.1 mph | 8.8° |
| Curveball | 7 | .286 | .714 | .205 | 20.0% | 14.3% | 66.7% | 0.0% | 95.1 mph | 1.7° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.