MLB · AL Central

Riley Greene

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Detroit TigersOFBats: L · Throws: L

FormColdPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Riley Greene has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
50%57%65%
Over 1.5▼ cold
20%27%31%
Over 2.5
10%7%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%20%14%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%50%47%
Over 2.5
20%27%23%
Over 3.5
10%20%15%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.275↓

OBP

.360

SLG

.456

OPS

.816

26%

Last 10: 8-for-40 (.200) · 1 HR · 8 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 470 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.462

Avg Exit V

91.0 mph

Barrel %

15.1%

Hard-Hit %

60.9%

Chase %

25.7%

Whiff %

26.9%

K %

26.4%

BB %

11.7%

Where he hits it

44%

Pull

29%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 26% of BIP · 95.2 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.669OPS152 PA

vs RHP.884OPS318 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	21	.150	.350	.513	29.2%	28.6%	60.0%	40.0%	93.3 mph	25.3°
Slider	81	.354	.538	.379	33.0%	24.7%	52.4%	10.5%	89.7 mph	19.0°
Changeup	97	.185	.313	.260	40.6%	37.1%	37.4%	7.4%	88.6 mph	19.0°
Four-seam	168	.239	.416	.366	20.4%	25.0%	46.3%	16.1%	90.6 mph	21.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.379

xSLG

.709

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.4

EV90

107.6

Launch angle

17.4°

Sweet-spot%

39.1%

Avg distance

349 ft

EV on barrels

106.1

EV on hard-hit

102.4

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

69.5%

O-Contact%

47.5%

Z-Contact%

83.6%

Contact%

73.1%

SwStr%

12.4%

CSW%

26.3%

In-zone%

47.0%

1st-pitch swing%

35.3%

2-strike K%

46.8%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.270

7d K%

23.8%

7d Barrel%

8.3%

7d Whiff%

20.4%

14d xwOBA(con)

.502

14d K%

20.4%

14d Barrel%

21.2%

30d xwOBA(con)

.476

30d K%

24.7%

30d Barrel%

19.3%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.428

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.511

Behind xwOBA(con)

.404

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.450

Ahead Whiff%

24.4%

2-strike Whiff%

24.7%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.393

RISP

.309

Loaded

.339

High leverage

.343

Clutch

.373

Innings 1-3

.512

Innings 4-6

.462

Innings 7+

.396

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Riley Greene UNDER 0.5 Hits

Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers · Jul 5, 2026 · +181

LOSS

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.