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MLB · AL West

Rob Refsnyder

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Seattle MarinersDHBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Rob Refsnyder has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    20%27%26%
  • Over 1.5
    10%7%4%
  • Over 2.5
    0%0%0%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%7%8%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    10%10%9%
  • Over 2.5
    10%7%8%
  • Over 3.5
    10%7%8%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.138

OBP

.202

SLG

.250

OPS

.452

HR

4

K%

29%

Last 10: 3-for-25 (.120) · 1 HR · 7 K · 0 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 129 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.317
21
Avg Exit V
86.0 mph
27
Barrel %
8.6%
61
Hard-Hit %
44.4%
43
Chase %
25.7%
78
Whiff %
25.5%
33
K %
28.7%
17
BB %
5.4%
17

Where he hits it

27%LF21%LCF15%CF14%RCF11%RF← Pull

51%

Pull

20%

Center

30%

Oppo

Pull-air 38% of BIP · 93.2 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.494OPS108 PA
vs RHP.243OPS21 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

3 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Changeup16.077.308.27027.3%25.0%33.3%8.3%87.1 mph14.5°
Slider23.112.279.20439.6%47.8%33.5%11.2%91.0 mph22.4°
Four-seam45.191.360.27021.5%31.1%48.0%13.7%88.4 mph33.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.252
xSLG
.469
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
112.3
EV90
101.9
Launch angle
18.3°
Sweet-spot%
27.2%
Avg distance
273 ft
EV on barrels
105.3
EV on hard-hit
101.3
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
64.8%
O-Contact%
50.7%
Z-Contact%
84.6%
Contact%
74.5%
SwStr%
11.3%
CSW%
29.6%
In-zone%
47.8%
1st-pitch swing%
27.9%
2-strike K%
49.3%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.740
7d K%
50.0%
7d Barrel%
50.0%
7d Whiff%
35.0%
14d xwOBA(con)
.740
14d K%
50.0%
14d Barrel%
50.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.740
30d K%
50.0%
30d Barrel%
50.0%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.393
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.417
Behind xwOBA(con)
.194
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.302
Ahead Whiff%
24.7%
2-strike Whiff%
28.0%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.202
RISP
.207
Loaded
.000
High leverage
.172
Clutch
.440
Innings 1-3
.280
Innings 4-6
.361
Innings 7+
.306

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Rob Refsnyder OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians · Jun 26, 2026 · +111

LOSS

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Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.