Skip to content

MLB · AL Central

Trevor Larnach

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Minnesota TwinsOFBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Trevor Larnach has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    60%60%58%
  • Over 1.5
    20%33%24%
  • Over 2.5
    0%7%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    20%13%10%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    30%40%35%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    30%33%22%
  • Over 3.5
    20%27%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.280

OBP

.366

SLG

.444

OPS

.810

HR

9

K%

17%

Last 10: 8-for-30 (.267) · 2 HR · 7 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 333 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.359
52
Avg Exit V
87.0 mph
35
Barrel %
7.8%
55
Hard-Hit %
46.6%
54
Chase %
29.1%
58
Whiff %
24.4%
39
K %
17.4%
79
BB %
11.1%
81

Where he hits it

11%LF10%LCF21%CF21%RCF25%RFPull →

47%

Pull

30%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 36% of BIP · 92.3 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.603OPS43 PA
vs RHP.840OPS290 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

2 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter18.385.692.39511.1%11.1%27.3%9.1%85.7 mph12.7°
Curveball27.292.417.30835.3%25.9%36.8%10.5%87.9 mph23.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.329
xSLG
.509
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
108.8
EV90
104.5
Launch angle
13.4°
Sweet-spot%
40.1%
Avg distance
253 ft
EV on barrels
103.2
EV on hard-hit
102.4
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
58.5%
O-Contact%
55.8%
Z-Contact%
86.9%
Contact%
75.6%
SwStr%
10.4%
CSW%
29.5%
In-zone%
46.4%
1st-pitch swing%
22.8%
2-strike K%
33.5%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.292
7d K%
20.0%
7d Barrel%
10.0%
7d Whiff%
29.6%
14d xwOBA(con)
.339
14d K%
21.2%
14d Barrel%
13.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.359
30d K%
16.9%
30d Barrel%
10.0%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.476
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.389
Behind xwOBA(con)
.327
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.317
Ahead Whiff%
21.3%
2-strike Whiff%
18.9%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.356
RISP
.419
Loaded
.764
High leverage
.377
Clutch
.293
Innings 1-3
.409
Innings 4-6
.330
Innings 7+
.314

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Trevor Larnach OVER 0.5 Hits

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners · Aug 1, 2026 · -140

WIN

Trevor Larnach OVER 0.5 Hits

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs · Jul 18, 2026 · -115

LOSS

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.