MLB · AL Central

Trevor Larnach

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Minnesota TwinsOFBats: L · Throws: R

FormColdPowerAverage

The read

League-average power. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Trevor Larnach has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
50%57%57%
Over 1.5
20%30%25%
Over 2.5
0%7%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
30%17%11%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
30%37%35%
Over 2.5
30%33%22%
Over 3.5▲ hot
30%27%17%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.279↓

OBP

.367

SLG

.449

OPS

.816

17%

Last 10: 7-for-32 (.219) · 3 HR · 7 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 343 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.364

Avg Exit V

87.4 mph

Barrel %

8.0%

Hard-Hit %

47.9%

Chase %

28.8%

Whiff %

24.4%

K %

17.5%

BB %

11.4%

Where he hits it

48%

Pull

30%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 37% of BIP · 93.1 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.603OPS43 PA

vs RHP.846OPS300 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	18	.385	.692	.395	11.1%	11.1%	27.3%	9.1%	85.7 mph	12.7°
Sinker	48	.310	.527	.418	15.0%	8.3%	41.9%	12.7%	89.6 mph	7.1°
Slider	58	.269	.500	.324	40.2%	32.8%	35.5%	12.9%	86.1 mph	10.2°
Changeup	59	.151	.245	.229	38.5%	30.5%	27.8%	5.6%	84.8 mph	19.7°
Four-seam	117	.336	.519	.373	10.9%	7.7%	38.6%	7.0%	88.1 mph	12.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.331

xSLG

.518

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

109.3

EV90

104.8

Launch angle

13.0°

Sweet-spot%

39.9%

Avg distance

252 ft

EV on barrels

103.5

EV on hard-hit

102.5

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

58.7%

O-Contact%

55.2%

Z-Contact%

87.1%

Contact%

75.6%

SwStr%

10.4%

CSW%

29.4%

In-zone%

46.5%

1st-pitch swing%

23.0%

2-strike K%

33.3%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.420

7d K%

22.7%

7d Barrel%

14.3%

7d Whiff%

30.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.391

14d K%

18.9%

14d Barrel%

16.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.380

30d K%

18.1%

30d Barrel%

9.8%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.464

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.391

Behind xwOBA(con)

.327

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.337

Ahead Whiff%

20.9%

2-strike Whiff%

18.8%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.356

RISP

.406

Loaded

.764

High leverage

.381

Clutch

.288

Innings 1-3

.407

Innings 4-6

.330

Innings 7+

.335

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Trevor Larnach OVER 0.5 Hits

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners · Aug 1, 2026 · -140

WIN

Trevor Larnach OVER 0.5 Hits

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs · Jul 18, 2026 · -115

LOSS

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Learn the betting side

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