MLB · AL East

Will Warren

Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups

New York YankeesSPBats: R · Throws: R

FormColdStuffAverage

The read

Above-average strikeout stuff.

Strikeout prop

How often Will Warren has cleared each strikeout line over his last 5 and 10 starts and the season.

Strikeouts

share of starts cleared

L5L10Season

Over 4.5
60%60%67%
Over 5.5
40%30%48%
Over 6.5▲ hot
40%30%29%
Over 7.5▼ cold
0%10%14%

Research any pitcher with the prop-research tool.

On the mound

This season

ERA

4.14

WHIP

1.36

FIP

3.88

xERA

4.46

8-5 · 21 GS · 108.7 IP · 109 K · 36 BB · 15 HR

MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP

Last 5 starts

ERA

5.62

K/9

9.0

FIP

5.10

24.0 IP · 15 ER · 24 K · 6 BB

vDET 5.1IP 2ER 7K
@TB 4IP 6ER 3K
@WSH 5IP 1ER 2K
@PHI 3IP 6ER 5K
@CHC 6.2IP 0ER 7K

Opponent splits

Stat	vs Lefties	vs Righties
Opp BA	.236	.238
K%	19%	28%
HR allowed	10	5
Sample	267 BF	206 BF

Quality of stuff

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 108.7 IP.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

ERA

4.14

FIP

3.88

xERA

4.46

WHIP

1.36

K %

23.5%

SwStr %

8.9%

Chase %

28.1%

Barrel %

7.3%

Attack zones

24%

Heart

39%

Shadow

25%

Chase

13%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 6.7 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA

4-Seam

37%

Sinker

27%

Curve

Change

12%

Other

20%

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Break	Zone%	SwStr%	xwOBA
4-Seam	37.3%	93.6	2539	1.3	55.8%	9.5%	.363
Sinker	26.7%	93.3	2398	2.2	50.0%	7.3%	.399
Change	11.5%	87.0	1688	3.0	23.6%	11.8%	.361
Curve	4.5%	81.3	2841	4.5	19.3%	15.7%	.430

Based on 1,837 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.347

1st-pitch strike%

60.9%

Putaway%

44.5%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

6.50

L5 FIP

5.71

L5 K/9

9.0

L5 BB/9

3.0

L5 HR/9

2.5

Pitches/start

83.5

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.355

vs RHB xwOBA

.336

1st time xwOBA

.311

2nd time xwOBA

.353

3rd time xwOBA

.400

Inn 1-3 ERA

4.34

Inn 4-6 ERA

4.59

Inn 7+ ERA

6.42

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.332

7d K%

30.0%

7d velo

88.8

14d xwOBA

.338

14d K%

29.5%

30d xwOBA

.402

30d K%

21.4%

30d velo

89.1

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Will Warren OVER 5.5 Strikeouts

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles · May 12, 2026 · -150

WIN

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