MLB · AL East

Willson Contreras

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red Sox1BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Willson Contreras has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
50%67%66%
Over 1.5
20%23%26%
Over 2.5
0%3%7%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
10%23%22%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
30%53%44%
Over 2.5▼ cold
10%33%30%
Over 3.5▼ cold
10%27%26%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.285↑

OBP

.391

SLG

.542

OPS

.933

25%

Last 10: 10-for-31 (.323) · 1 HR · 12 K · 8 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 420 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.476

Avg Exit V

90.7 mph

Barrel %

14.5%

Hard-Hit %

61.0%

Chase %

33.7%

Whiff %

29.8%

K %

25.0%

BB %

10.5%

Where he hits it

52%

Pull

26%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 38% of BIP · 102.7 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.953OPS114 PA

vs RHP.926OPS306 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · last 30 days · vs right-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	13	.375	.875	.592	15.0%	15.4%	50.0%	33.3%	90.4 mph	31.7°
Slider	11	.100	.100	.161	66.7%	54.5%	50.0%	0.0%	93.9 mph	24.5°
Changeup	9	.000	.000	.166	41.7%	55.6%	0.0%	0.0%	79.2 mph	11.0°
Sinker	8	.714	1.286	.705	0.0%	0.0%	42.9%	28.6%	96.8 mph	14.9°
Curveball	6	.600	1.400	.708	18.2%	0.0%	80.0%	20.0%	101.7 mph	24.8°
Cutter	1	—	—	.698	0.0%	0.0%	—	—	—	—

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.382

xSLG

.736

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

114.4

EV90

108.8

Launch angle

18.2°

Sweet-spot%

36.5%

Avg distance

319 ft

EV on barrels

107.5

EV on hard-hit

103.2

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

67.1%

O-Contact%

48.5%

Z-Contact%

83.7%

Contact%

70.2%

SwStr%

14.4%

CSW%

28.8%

In-zone%

44.2%

1st-pitch swing%

38.7%

2-strike K%

44.3%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.420

7d K%

30.8%

7d Barrel%

12.5%

7d Whiff%

46.5%

14d xwOBA(con)

.420

14d K%

23.5%

14d Barrel%

13.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.518

30d K%

22.1%

30d Barrel%

17.1%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.534

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.457

Behind xwOBA(con)

.453

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.443

Ahead Whiff%

27.2%

2-strike Whiff%

28.3%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.398

RISP

.500

Loaded

.175

High leverage

.390

Clutch

.514

Innings 1-3

.464

Innings 4-6

.487

Innings 7+

.479

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.