MLB · AL West

Yordan Alvarez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Houston AstrosDHBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Yordan Alvarez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    90%77%73%
  • Over 1.5
    30%33%34%
  • Over 2.5
    10%13%10%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    10%23%28%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    50%50%48%
  • Over 2.5
    40%40%39%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    10%27%29%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.312↑

OBP

.402

SLG

.617

OPS

1.019

HR

25

K%

17%

Last 10: 14-for-39 (.359) · 3 HR · 5 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 343 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.561
100
Avg Exit V
94.5 mph
99
Barrel %
18.8%
98
Hard-Hit %
60.3%
94
Chase %
26.9%
67
Whiff %
16.9%
81
K %
16.9%
78
BB %
11.9%
84

Where he hits it

13%LF14%LCF19%CF17%RCF28%RFPull →

44%

Pull

31%

Center

25%

Oppo

Pull-air 29% of BIP · 100.3 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.941OPS97 PA
vs RHP1.051OPS246 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Four-seam89.324.716.48715.9%21.3%65.4%19.6%97.3 mph21.0°
Slider64.308.690.49118.1%14.1%33.4%25.7%91.3 mph23.2°
Sinker57.342.505.45011.4%14.0%59.5%10.8%95.8 mph10.4°
Curveball34.360.839.57826.8%20.6%63.3%21.9%96.3 mph16.9°
Cutter29.300.665.52116.2%20.7%46.0%19.5%95.1 mph13.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.431
xSLG
.905
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
117.8
EV90
110.5
Launch angle
18.7°
Sweet-spot%
47.2%
Avg distance
378 ft
EV on barrels
107.5
EV on hard-hit
104.5
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
62.7%
O-Contact%
66.5%
Z-Contact%
91.7%
Contact%
83.1%
SwStr%
7.1%
CSW%
23.0%
In-zone%
44.2%
1st-pitch swing%
34.4%
2-strike K%
33.3%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.418
7d K%
16.0%
7d Barrel%
25.0%
7d Whiff%
12.2%
14d xwOBA(con)
.474
14d K%
12.0%
14d Barrel%
18.4%
30d xwOBA(con)
.584
30d K%
17.5%
30d Barrel%
22.4%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.595
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.612
Behind xwOBA(con)
.565
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.587
Ahead Whiff%
15.3%
2-strike Whiff%
16.9%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.445
RISP
.538
Loaded
.817
High leverage
.462
Clutch
.513
Innings 1-3
.623
Innings 4-6
.558
Innings 7+
.468

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.