MLB · AL West

Yordan Alvarez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Houston AstrosDHBats: L · Throws: R
FormColdPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Yordan Alvarez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    70%73%71%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    20%33%33%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    0%13%10%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    10%23%27%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%50%46%
  • Over 2.5
    30%40%38%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    10%27%28%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.304↓

OBP

.394

SLG

.599

OPS

.993

HR

25

K%

17%

Last 10: 9-for-39 (.231) · 1 HR · 6 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 358 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.556
99
Avg Exit V
94.3 mph
99
Barrel %
18.5%
98
Hard-Hit %
59.2%
93
Chase %
27.4%
63
Whiff %
16.7%
83
K %
16.8%
79
BB %
11.7%
82

Where he hits it

15%LF15%LCF18%CF16%RCF28%RFPull →

43%

Pull

30%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 28% of BIP · 100.3 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.931OPS98 PA
vs RHP1.016OPS260 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Four-seam90.320.707.48115.7%21.1%64.3%19.3%97.0 mph21.8°
Sinker59.349.504.45711.2%13.6%58.8%10.2%95.5 mph10.9°
Curveball35.381.876.60226.4%20.0%64.4%24.4%96.6 mph17.5°
Cutter30.290.643.51816.1%20.0%47.8%18.9%95.2 mph12.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.428
xSLG
.897
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
117.8
EV90
110.4
Launch angle
19.2°
Sweet-spot%
46.6%
Avg distance
375 ft
EV on barrels
107.4
EV on hard-hit
104.4
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
62.6%
O-Contact%
67.0%
Z-Contact%
91.9%
Contact%
83.3%
SwStr%
7.0%
CSW%
22.8%
In-zone%
43.8%
1st-pitch swing%
34.6%
2-strike K%
33.7%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.430
7d K%
16.1%
7d Barrel%
17.6%
7d Whiff%
10.9%
14d xwOBA(con)
.468
14d K%
12.1%
14d Barrel%
19.1%
30d xwOBA(con)
.538
30d K%
16.8%
30d Barrel%
19.2%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.589
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.597
Behind xwOBA(con)
.563
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.585
Ahead Whiff%
14.9%
2-strike Whiff%
17.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.443
RISP
.525
Loaded
.817
High leverage
.457
Clutch
.516
Innings 1-3
.619
Innings 4-6
.545
Innings 7+
.472

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.