MLB · AL Central

Zach McKinstry

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Detroit Tigers2B · SPBats: L · Throws: R

FormHotPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Zach McKinstry has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
70%57%48%
Over 1.5
20%23%14%
Over 2.5
0%0%0%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
0%7%5%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
50%40%25%
Over 2.5
10%17%12%
Over 3.5
10%10%7%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.202↑

OBP

.274

SLG

.308

OPS

.582

16%

Last 10: 9-for-27 (.333) · 0 HR · 1 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 292 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.292

Avg Exit V

84.6 mph

Barrel %

2.8%

Hard-Hit %

26.1%

Chase %

29.5%

Whiff %

14.0%

K %

16.1%

BB %

9.3%

Where he hits it

43%

Pull

31%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 18% of BIP · 95.3 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.389OPS57 PA

vs RHP.627OPS235 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

1 pitch · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Slider	46	.227	.378	.368	20.6%	15.2%	23.5%	2.7%	86.7 mph	19.8°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.287

xSLG

.393

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

106.0

EV90

100.7

Launch angle

13.7°

Sweet-spot%

39.5%

Avg distance

319 ft

EV on barrels

101.0

EV on hard-hit

100.1

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

67.1%

O-Contact%

66.0%

Z-Contact%

94.2%

Contact%

86.0%

SwStr%

6.9%

CSW%

23.9%

In-zone%

51.5%

1st-pitch swing%

36.6%

2-strike K%

34.6%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.310

7d K%

5.6%

7d Barrel%

6.7%

7d Whiff%

16.7%

14d xwOBA(con)

.347

14d K%

5.1%

14d Barrel%

2.9%

30d xwOBA(con)

.352

30d K%

14.3%

30d Barrel%

5.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.349

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.323

Behind xwOBA(con)

.244

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.256

Ahead Whiff%

9.2%

2-strike Whiff%

17.0%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.309

RISP

.305

Loaded

.257

High leverage

.304

Clutch

.362

Innings 1-3

.291

Innings 4-6

.289

Innings 7+

.296

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Attack zones

Heart

25%

Shadow

18%

Chase

50%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 3.7 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.487

1st-pitch strike%

50.0%

Putaway%

0.0%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

18.00

L5 FIP

12.10

L5 K/9

0.0

L5 BB/9

27.0

L5 HR/9

0.0

Pitches/start

28.0

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.233

vs RHB xwOBA

.640

1st time xwOBA

.487

Inn 7+ ERA

6.34

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.487

7d K%

0.0%

7d velo

42.9

14d xwOBA

.487

14d K%

0.0%

30d xwOBA

.487

30d K%

0.0%

30d velo

42.9

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Zach McKinstry OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers · Jul 27, 2026 · -143

WIN

Zach McKinstry OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers · Jul 25, 2026 · -149

WIN

Zach McKinstry OVER 0.5 Hits

Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers · Jul 12, 2026 · -129

WIN

Zach McKinstry OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers · Jul 11, 2026 · -115

LOSS

Zach McKinstry OVER 0.5 Hits

Athletics vs Detroit Tigers · Jul 8, 2026 · -150

LOSS

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.