At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
85.6
▼ L5 58.4
Rec/g
6.2
▼ L5 5.0
Tgt/g
9.3
▼ L5 8.0
Rec TD/g
0.41
▼ L5 0.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 76% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
| 49.5 | 76% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
| 59.5 | 65% | 40% | 63% | 67% |
| 69.5 | 59% | 40% | 50% | 67% |
| 79.5 | 53% | 40% | 50% | 56% |
| 89.5 | 47% | 20% | 38% | 56% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 88% | 80% | 100% | 78% |
| 3.5 | 88% | 80% | 100% | 78% |
| 4.5 | 76% | 60% | 75% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 65% | 40% | 63% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 53% | 20% | 50% | 56% |
| 7.5 | 35% | 20% | 38% | 33% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 88% | 80% | 100% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 76% | 60% | 75% | 78% |
| 8.5 | 65% | 60% | 75% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 40% | 50% | 22% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
3%
Air-yards share
2%
Rec EPA/game
-5.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
86.4
8 g
Away
85.0
9 g
In wins
90.8
11 g
In losses
76.2
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ NE | W 25-20 | +3.5 | 44.5 | 10 | 7 | 79 | 0 | 171 | 13 | 33% |
| 2 | vs MIN | W 34-28 | +6 | 49 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 55 | 16 | 27% |
| 3 | @ TB | W 25-11 | +6 | 44 | 14 | 9 | 131 | 0 | 121 | 73 | 40% |
| 4 | vs WAS | W 34-31 | +9.5 | 43 | 13 | 9 | 175 | 2 | 212 | 52 | 38% |
| 5 | @ LA | W 23-14 | +3.5 | 50.5 | 8 | 6 | 127 | 0 | 135 | 41 | 24% |
| 6 | @ NYJ | L 14-20 | +6.5 | 43 | 9 | 7 | 131 | 0 | 149 | 39 | 21% |
| 7 | vs MIA | W 31-17 | +3 | 52 | 15 | 10 | 137 | 1 | 146 | 29 | 50% |
| 8 | @ WAS | W 38-31 | +7 | 42.5 | 8 | 8 | 130 | 2 | 104 | 26 | 23% |
| 9 | vs DAL | W 28-23 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 9 | 7 | 66 | 1 | 103 | 27 | 43% |
| 11 | @ KC | W 21-17 | -2.5 | 46 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 64 | 2 | 19% |
| 12 | vs BUF | W 37-34 | +2.5 | 49 | 9 | 5 | 37 | 1 | 47 | 14 | 32% |
| 13 | vs SF | L 19-42 | -3 | 46.5 | 13 | 8 | 114 | 0 | 107 | 62 | 31% |
| 14 | @ DAL | L 13-33 | -3.5 | 52.5 | 13 | 9 | 94 | 0 | 143 | 31 | 46% |
| 15 | @ SEA | L 17-20 | +5 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 130 | 15 | 33% |
| 16 | vs NYG | W 33-25 | +14 | 41 | 11 | 6 | 80 | 0 | 104 | 13 | 31% |
| 17 | vs ARI | L 31-35 | +12 | 48 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 22% |
| 18 | @ NYG | L 10-27 | +4.5 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 3% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).