At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
68.2
▼ L5 65.6
Rec/g
4.6
▼ L5 3.4
Tgt/g
7.8
▼ L5 6.0
Rec TD/g
0.53
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 82% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 49.5 | 65% | 80% | 88% | 44% |
| 59.5 | 53% | 40% | 75% | 33% |
| 69.5 | 53% | 40% | 75% | 33% |
| 79.5 | 35% | 20% | 50% | 22% |
| 89.5 | 35% | 20% | 50% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 60% | 100% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 40% | 100% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 20% | 75% | 11% |
| 5.5 | 35% | 20% | 63% | 11% |
| 6.5 | 29% | 0% | 50% | 11% |
| 7.5 | 12% | 0% | 13% | 11% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 71% | 60% | 100% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 40% | 88% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 20% | 75% | 22% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 0% | 50% | 11% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
11%
Air-yards share
25%
Rec EPA/game
2.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
84.6
8 g
Away
53.7
9 g
In wins
78.0
7 g
In losses
61.4
10 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ CAR | W 26-24 | -2.5 | 42.5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 63 | 6 | 20% |
| 2 | vs NYJ | L 30-31 | +6.5 | 38.5 | 10 | 9 | 101 | 1 | 105 | 14 | 37% |
| 3 | vs PIT | W 29-17 | +4.5 | 38 | 11 | 7 | 101 | 1 | 132 | 29 | 35% |
| 4 | @ ATL | L 20-23 | +1 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 41 | 5 | 11% |
| 5 | vs LAC | L 28-30 | -1 | 47 | 12 | 7 | 76 | 1 | 123 | 4 | 38% |
| 6 | vs NE | L 15-38 | +2.5 | 43 | 12 | 4 | 44 | 1 | 157 | 2 | 29% |
| 7 | @ BAL | L 20-23 | -6.5 | 46 | 4 | 3 | 74 | 0 | 84 | 9 | 16% |
| 8 | vs CIN | W 32-13 | -3 | 45 | 7 | 5 | 131 | 1 | 126 | 31 | 35% |
| 10 | @ MIA | L 17-39 | -3 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 27 | 5 | 9% |
| 11 | @ BUF | L 23-31 | -7.5 | 50.5 | 12 | 8 | 113 | 2 | 162 | 20 | 31% |
| 12 | vs TB | W 23-17 | -3 | 42 | 12 | 7 | 94 | 0 | 188 | 36 | 33% |
| 13 | @ HOU | W 27-14 | +7.5 | 47 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 82 | 17 | 43% |
| 14 | @ CIN | L 10-23 | -4.5 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 65 | 10 | 18% |
| 15 | vs BAL | W 13-3 | +2.5 | 39.5 | 6 | 4 | 58 | 0 | 40 | 24 | 23% |
| 16 | vs NO | L 10-17 | +3 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 72 | 0 | 130 | 14 | 37% |
| 17 | @ WAS | W 24-10 | -1 | 41.5 | 4 | 3 | 105 | 2 | 71 | 58 | 25% |
| 18 | @ PIT | L 14-28 | -2.5 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 51 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 11% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).