At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
81.8
▲ L5 100.2
Rec/g
4.8
▲ L5 5.4
Tgt/g
8.3
▲ L5 9.6
Rec TD/g
0.31
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 63% | 60% | 63% | 63% |
| 49.5 | 63% | 60% | 63% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 56% | 60% | 63% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 56% | 60% | 63% | 50% |
| 79.5 | 50% | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| 89.5 | 44% | 40% | 50% | 38% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 81% | 80% | 88% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 69% | 60% | 75% | 63% |
| 4.5 | 44% | 40% | 38% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 38% | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 25% | 40% | 25% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 69% | 60% | 75% | 63% |
| 8.5 | 31% | 40% | 13% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 19% | 40% | 13% | 25% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
35%
Air-yards share
64%
Rec EPA/game
23.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
79.5
8 g
Away
84.1
8 g
In wins
100.5
10 g
In losses
50.7
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ HOU | L 14-45 | +2.5 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 59 | 0 | 66 | 7 | 12% |
| 1 | vs CIN | W 24-3 | -1 | 46.5 | 7 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 122 | 1 | 24% |
| 2 | @ PIT | L 22-26 | +2.5 | 39 | 10 | 7 | 90 | 0 | 136 | 8 | 25% |
| 3 | vs TEN | W 27-3 | +3.5 | 38 | 8 | 7 | 116 | 1 | 145 | 9 | 26% |
| 4 | vs BAL | L 3-28 | -2 | 38.5 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 127 | 0 | 18% |
| 6 | vs SF | W 19-17 | -9.5 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 108 | 0 | 104 | 44 | 24% |
| 7 | @ IND | W 39-38 | +3.5 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 123 | 1 | 23% |
| 8 | @ SEA | L 20-24 | -4 | 39.5 | 11 | 6 | 89 | 0 | 125 | 13 | 37% |
| 9 | vs ARI | W 27-0 | +13 | 38 | 5 | 5 | 139 | 1 | 106 | 33 | 18% |
| 10 | @ BAL | W 33-31 | -6 | 38.5 | 9 | 6 | 98 | 0 | 122 | 33 | 28% |
| 11 | vs PIT | W 13-10 | +2.5 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 61 | 11 | 20% |
| 12 | @ DEN | L 12-29 | -1.5 | 37.5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 15% |
| 13 | @ LA | L 19-36 | -3.5 | 39.5 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 31 | 6 | 12% |
| 14 | vs JAX | W 31-27 | +2.5 | 37.5 | 14 | 7 | 77 | 0 | 172 | 20 | 33% |
| 15 | vs CHI | W 20-17 | +3 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 109 | 1 | 129 | 32 | 18% |
| 16 | @ HOU | W 36-22 | +3 | 40 | 15 | 11 | 265 | 2 | 286 | 60 | 35% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).