At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
78.5
▲ L5 83.0
Rec/g
4.4
▲ L5 5.0
Tgt/g
6.6
▲ L5 6.6
Rec TD/g
0.42
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 84% | 60% | 78% | 90% |
| 49.5 | 68% | 60% | 78% | 60% |
| 59.5 | 47% | 60% | 67% | 30% |
| 69.5 | 42% | 60% | 56% | 30% |
| 79.5 | 37% | 60% | 56% | 20% |
| 89.5 | 37% | 60% | 56% | 20% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 95% | 100% | 100% | 90% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 47% | 60% | 56% | 40% |
| 5.5 | 26% | 60% | 33% | 20% |
| 6.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 7.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 84% | 80% | 89% | 80% |
| 6.5 | 47% | 60% | 56% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 16% | 20% | 22% | 10% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
16%
Air-yards share
14%
Rec EPA/game
2.4
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
92.8
9 g
Away
65.6
10 g
In wins
81.7
13 g
In losses
71.5
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs GB | W 24-21 | +10.5 | 50.5 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 59 | 10 | 17% |
| 21* | vs DET | W 34-31 | +7.5 | 52.5 | 8 | 3 | 68 | 1 | 134 | 3 | 27% |
| 22* | @ KC | L 22-25 | +1.5 | 47 | 6 | 3 | 49 | 0 | 88 | 14 | 16% |
| 1 | @ PIT | W 30-7 | +1.5 | 41.5 | 8 | 8 | 129 | 2 | 109 | 20 | 29% |
| 2 | @ LA | W 30-23 | +7.5 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 81 | 6 | 25% |
| 4 | vs ARI | W 35-16 | +15 | 44 | 6 | 6 | 148 | 0 | 129 | 19 | 29% |
| 5 | vs DAL | W 42-10 | +3.5 | 45 | 7 | 4 | 58 | 0 | 104 | 11 | 28% |
| 6 | @ CLE | L 17-19 | +9.5 | 36 | 10 | 4 | 76 | 0 | 158 | 47 | 42% |
| 7 | @ MIN | L 17-22 | +7 | 44.5 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 52 | 15 | 21% |
| 8 | vs CIN | L 17-31 | +4 | 44 | 9 | 5 | 109 | 0 | 139 | 22 | 30% |
| 10 | @ JAX | W 34-3 | +3 | 44.5 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 1 | 51 | 4 | 11% |
| 11 | vs TB | W 27-14 | +13.5 | 41.5 | 6 | 5 | 156 | 1 | 91 | 78 | 24% |
| 12 | @ SEA | W 31-13 | +7 | 43.5 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 1 | 68 | 12 | 13% |
| 13 | @ PHI | W 42-19 | +3 | 46.5 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 1 | 44 | 9 | 28% |
| 14 | vs SEA | W 28-16 | +14.5 | 44.5 | 9 | 6 | 126 | 0 | 134 | 34 | 33% |
| 15 | @ ARI | W 45-29 | +12.5 | 48 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 93 | 12 | 19% |
| 16 | vs BAL | L 19-33 | +6.5 | 47.5 | 7 | 6 | 113 | 0 | 78 | 49 | 16% |
| 17 | @ WAS | W 27-10 | +14 | 49 | 8 | 7 | 114 | 1 | 101 | 17 | 30% |
| 18 | vs LA | L 20-21 | +5.5 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 35 | 7 | 16% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).