At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
266.0
▲ L5 281.8
Pass TD/g
1.79
▲ L5 2.40
Comp/g
19.7
▼ L5 18.8
Att/g
29.1
▼ L5 27.8
INT/g
0.63
▲ L5 1.00
Rush yds/g
11.5
▼ L5 4.4
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 95% | 100% | 100% | 90% |
| 224.5 | 79% | 100% | 100% | 60% |
| 249.5 | 68% | 60% | 100% | 40% |
| 274.5 | 37% | 40% | 56% | 20% |
| 299.5 | 26% | 40% | 44% | 10% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 80% | 89% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 80% | 44% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 40% | 22% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 40% | 11% | 20% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 79% | 80% | 89% | 70% |
| 19.5 | 53% | 20% | 67% | 40% |
| 21.5 | 26% | 20% | 33% | 20% |
| 23.5 | 5% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 25.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 37% | 40% | 44% | 30% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 20% | 22% | 10% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
12.5
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
298.3
9 g
Away
236.9
10 g
In wins
270.1
14 g
In losses
254.4
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs GB | W 24-21 | +10.5 | 50.5 | 23 | 39 | 252 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 311 | 7.2 |
| 21* | vs DET | W 34-31 | +7.5 | 52.5 | 20 | 31 | 267 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 283 | 6.6 |
| 22* | @ KC | L 22-25 | +1.5 | 47 | 23 | 38 | 255 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 324 | 6.2 |
| 1 | @ PIT | W 30-7 | +1.5 | 41.5 | 19 | 29 | 220 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 242 | 6.5 |
| 2 | @ LA | W 30-23 | +7.5 | 45 | 17 | 25 | 206 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 3.3 |
| 3 | vs NYG | W 30-12 | +10.5 | 43.5 | 25 | 37 | 310 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 182 | 16.5 |
| 4 | vs ARI | W 35-16 | +15 | 44 | 20 | 21 | 283 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 181 | 22.8 |
| 5 | vs DAL | W 42-10 | +3.5 | 45 | 17 | 24 | 252 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 18.5 |
| 6 | @ CLE | L 17-19 | +9.5 | 36 | 12 | 27 | 125 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 250 | -10.6 |
| 7 | @ MIN | L 17-22 | +7 | 44.5 | 21 | 30 | 272 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 8.2 |
| 8 | vs CIN | L 17-31 | +4 | 44 | 22 | 31 | 365 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 270 | -2.9 |
| 10 | @ JAX | W 34-3 | +3 | 44.5 | 19 | 26 | 296 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 184 | 17.1 |
| 11 | vs TB | W 27-14 | +13.5 | 41.5 | 21 | 25 | 333 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 201 | 15.9 |
| 12 | @ SEA | W 31-13 | +7 | 43.5 | 21 | 30 | 209 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 0.7 |
| 13 | @ PHI | W 42-19 | +3 | 46.5 | 19 | 27 | 314 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 177 | 22.3 |
| 14 | vs SEA | W 28-16 | +14.5 | 44.5 | 19 | 27 | 368 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 272 | 12.8 |
| 15 | @ ARI | W 45-29 | +12.5 | 48 | 16 | 25 | 242 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 330 | 18.2 |
| 16 | vs BAL | L 19-33 | +6.5 | 47.5 | 18 | 32 | 255 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 204 | -18.1 |
| 17 | @ WAS | W 27-10 | +14 | 49 | 22 | 28 | 230 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 12.5 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).