At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
103.3
▲ L5 113.4
Rec/g
8.0
▲ L5 9.0
Tgt/g
11.0
▲ L5 12.0
Rec TD/g
0.67
▲ L5 1.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 89% | 100% | 89% | 89% |
| 49.5 | 83% | 100% | 89% | 78% |
| 59.5 | 67% | 80% | 78% | 56% |
| 69.5 | 67% | 80% | 78% | 56% |
| 79.5 | 56% | 60% | 67% | 44% |
| 89.5 | 56% | 60% | 67% | 44% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 4.5 | 72% | 100% | 78% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 72% | 100% | 78% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 56% | 60% | 67% | 44% |
| 7.5 | 44% | 40% | 67% | 22% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| 6.5 | 83% | 100% | 89% | 78% |
| 8.5 | 72% | 100% | 89% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 44% | 40% | 67% | 22% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
33%
Air-yards share
26%
Rec EPA/game
10.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
118.3
9 g
Away
88.2
9 g
In wins
107.1
12 g
In losses
95.7
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs GB | L 32-48 | +7 | 52.5 | 17 | 9 | 110 | 0 | 204 | 35 | 29% |
| 1 | @ NYG | W 40-0 | +3.5 | 44.5 | 4 | 4 | 77 | 0 | 37 | 40 | 16% |
| 2 | vs NYJ | W 30-10 | +8.5 | 38.5 | 13 | 11 | 143 | 0 | 94 | 63 | 35% |
| 3 | @ ARI | L 16-28 | +11.5 | 43.5 | 7 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 52 | 15 | 19% |
| 4 | vs NE | W 38-3 | +6.5 | 43 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 1 | 54 | 8 | 17% |
| 5 | @ SF | L 10-42 | -3.5 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 45 | 19 | 19% |
| 6 | @ LAC | W 20-17 | +1.5 | 49.5 | 7 | 7 | 117 | 0 | 86 | 31 | 23% |
| 8 | vs LA | W 43-20 | +6.5 | 44.5 | 14 | 12 | 158 | 2 | 144 | 64 | 41% |
| 9 | @ PHI | L 23-28 | -3.5 | 46.5 | 16 | 11 | 191 | 0 | 234 | 57 | 36% |
| 10 | vs NYG | W 49-17 | +17.5 | 38.5 | 14 | 11 | 151 | 1 | 157 | 42 | 32% |
| 11 | @ CAR | W 33-10 | +11 | 43 | 9 | 6 | 38 | 1 | 76 | 18 | 23% |
| 12 | vs WAS | W 45-10 | +13 | 48 | 9 | 4 | 53 | 1 | 163 | 16 | 28% |
| 13 | vs SEA | W 41-35 | +9.5 | 47.5 | 17 | 12 | 116 | 1 | 128 | 33 | 43% |
| 14 | vs PHI | W 33-13 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 10 | 6 | 71 | 1 | 95 | 35 | 26% |
| 15 | @ BUF | L 10-31 | -2 | 49.5 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 0 | 91 | 11 | 31% |
| 16 | @ MIA | L 20-22 | -1.5 | 48.5 | 10 | 6 | 118 | 1 | 76 | 64 | 31% |
| 17 | vs DET | W 20-19 | +5.5 | 53 | 17 | 13 | 227 | 1 | 134 | 122 | 46% |
| 18 | @ WAS | W 38-10 | +13 | 47.5 | 13 | 13 | 98 | 2 | 56 | 42 | 33% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).