At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
57.7
▲ L5 60.4
Rec/g
4.1
▲ L5 4.4
Tgt/g
6.2
▲ L5 7.2
Rec TD/g
0.39
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 61% | 60% | 67% | 56% |
| 49.5 | 50% | 20% | 56% | 44% |
| 59.5 | 39% | 20% | 44% | 33% |
| 69.5 | 28% | 20% | 33% | 22% |
| 79.5 | 22% | 20% | 33% | 11% |
| 89.5 | 17% | 20% | 22% | 11% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 80% | 67% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 80% | 44% | 78% |
| 4.5 | 39% | 40% | 33% | 44% |
| 5.5 | 28% | 20% | 33% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 20% | 22% | 11% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 56% | 80% | 44% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 50% | 60% | 44% | 56% |
| 8.5 | 39% | 40% | 44% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 17% | 20% | 22% | 11% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
8%
Air-yards share
4%
Rec EPA/game
1.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
64.1
9 g
Away
51.2
9 g
In wins
66.9
14 g
In losses
25.3
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs GB | W 24-21 | +10.5 | 50.5 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 6% |
| 21* | vs DET | W 34-31 | +7.5 | 52.5 | 9 | 8 | 89 | 0 | 40 | 65 | 30% |
| 22* | @ KC | L 22-25 | +1.5 | 47 | 11 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 123 | 26 | 30% |
| 1 | @ PIT | W 30-7 | +1.5 | 41.5 | 7 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 73 | 11 | 25% |
| 2 | @ LA | W 30-23 | +7.5 | 45 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 0 | 55 | 52 | 38% |
| 3 | vs NYG | W 30-12 | +10.5 | 43.5 | 12 | 6 | 129 | 1 | 70 | 78 | 35% |
| 4 | vs ARI | W 35-16 | +15 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 5 | vs DAL | W 42-10 | +3.5 | 45 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 0 | 32 | 23 | 12% |
| 6 | @ CLE | L 17-19 | +9.5 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4% |
| 10 | @ JAX | W 34-3 | +3 | 44.5 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 15% |
| 11 | vs TB | W 27-14 | +13.5 | 41.5 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 0 | 40 | 26 | 16% |
| 12 | @ SEA | W 31-13 | +7 | 43.5 | 9 | 7 | 79 | 0 | 73 | 43 | 30% |
| 13 | @ PHI | W 42-19 | +3 | 46.5 | 4 | 4 | 116 | 2 | 1 | 115 | 16% |
| 14 | vs SEA | W 28-16 | +14.5 | 44.5 | 9 | 7 | 149 | 1 | 65 | 91 | 33% |
| 15 | @ ARI | W 45-29 | +12.5 | 48 | 7 | 4 | 48 | 2 | 77 | 7 | 27% |
| 16 | vs BAL | L 19-33 | +6.5 | 47.5 | 12 | 4 | 47 | 0 | 66 | 15 | 27% |
| 17 | @ WAS | W 27-10 | +14 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 22% |
| 18 | vs LA | L 20-21 | +5.5 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 8% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).