At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
46.5
▲ L5 47.4
Rec/g
2.6
▲ L5 3.6
Tgt/g
4.5
▲ L5 7.2
Rec TD/g
0.65
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 47% | 60% | 40% | 57% |
| 49.5 | 18% | 20% | 10% | 29% |
| 59.5 | 18% | 20% | 10% | 29% |
| 69.5 | 18% | 20% | 10% | 29% |
| 79.5 | 18% | 20% | 10% | 29% |
| 89.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 29% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 41% | 80% | 40% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 40% | 20% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 40% | 10% | 29% |
| 5.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 35% | 60% | 40% | 29% |
| 6.5 | 24% | 60% | 20% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 12% | 20% | 10% | 14% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 20% | 10% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
31%
Air-yards share
53%
Rec EPA/game
-10.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
35.4
10 g
Away
62.4
7 g
In wins
42.5
10 g
In losses
52.3
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs NE | W 47-17 | +4.5 | 43 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 1 | 42 | 5 | 12% |
| 20* | @ KC | L 36-42 | -2.5 | 54 | 10 | 8 | 201 | 4 | 199 | 37 | 27% |
| 1 | vs PIT | L 16-23 | +6.5 | 48 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 1 | 74 | 11 | 10% |
| 3 | vs WAS | W 43-21 | +7.5 | 45.5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 2% |
| 4 | vs HOU | W 40-0 | +19 | 47.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3% |
| 5 | @ KC | W 38-20 | -2.5 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 4% |
| 6 | @ TEN | L 31-34 | +6 | 53.5 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 4% |
| 8 | vs MIA | W 26-11 | +15 | 48.5 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 31 | 17 | 12% |
| 9 | @ JAX | L 6-9 | +14.5 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 4% |
| 10 | @ NYJ | W 45-17 | +13 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 105 | 0 | 99 | 6 | 11% |
| 11 | vs IND | L 15-41 | +7.5 | 49.5 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 66 | 0 | 10% |
| 12 | @ NO | W 31-6 | +7 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 0 | 31 | 18 | 12% |
| 13 | vs NE | L 10-14 | +3 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 1 | 51 | 11 | 13% |
| 14 | @ TB | L 27-33 | -3.5 | 52.5 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 1 | 43 | 16 | 16% |
| 15 | vs CAR | W 31-14 | +14 | 43 | 7 | 5 | 85 | 2 | 135 | 16 | 23% |
| 17 | vs ATL | W 29-15 | +14 | 46.5 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 31 | 9 | 13% |
| 18 | vs NYJ | W 27-10 | +16 | 43 | 14 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 222 | 9 | 31% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).