At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
46.6
▼ L5 30.2
Rec/g
2.8
▼ L5 1.2
Tgt/g
5.1
▼ L5 2.8
Rec TD/g
0.44
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 44% | 20% | 63% | 25% |
| 49.5 | 44% | 20% | 63% | 25% |
| 59.5 | 38% | 20% | 50% | 25% |
| 69.5 | 31% | 20% | 38% | 25% |
| 79.5 | 31% | 20% | 38% | 25% |
| 89.5 | 25% | 20% | 25% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 44% | 20% | 63% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 31% | 20% | 38% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 38% | 13% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 0% | 38% | 13% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 44% | 20% | 50% | 38% |
| 6.5 | 25% | 0% | 38% | 13% |
| 8.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 10.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
5%
Air-yards share
11%
Rec EPA/game
-6.7
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
54.8
8 g
Away
38.5
8 g
In wins
44.7
10 g
In losses
49.8
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ NYJ | L 16-22 | +2.5 | 44.5 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 70 | 8 | 10% |
| 2 | vs LV | W 38-10 | +7.5 | 47 | 7 | 6 | 92 | 1 | 80 | 31 | 19% |
| 3 | @ WAS | W 37-3 | +5.5 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1 | 100 | 3 | 13% |
| 4 | vs MIA | W 48-20 | +2.5 | 53 | 3 | 3 | 61 | 1 | 52 | 9 | 12% |
| 5 | vs JAX | L 20-25 | +5.5 | 48.5 | 8 | 6 | 100 | 1 | 111 | 5 | 22% |
| 6 | vs NYG | W 14-9 | +15.5 | 43.5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 14% |
| 7 | @ NE | L 25-29 | +7.5 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 78 | 2 | 13% |
| 8 | vs TB | W 24-18 | +10 | 43 | 12 | 9 | 87 | 1 | 80 | 43 | 31% |
| 9 | @ CIN | L 18-24 | -1.5 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 6% |
| 10 | vs DEN | L 22-24 | +7.5 | 47.5 | 6 | 2 | 56 | 0 | 101 | 17 | 24% |
| 12 | @ PHI | L 34-37 | -2.5 | 49 | 12 | 6 | 105 | 1 | 185 | 16 | 24% |
| 14 | @ KC | W 20-17 | -2 | 49.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 6% |
| 15 | vs DAL | W 31-10 | +2 | 49.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 8% |
| 16 | @ LAC | W 24-22 | +13 | 44.5 | 6 | 4 | 130 | 1 | 128 | 34 | 29% |
| 17 | vs NE | W 27-21 | +15 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 11% |
| 18 | @ MIA | W 21-14 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 5% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).