At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
53.3
▲ L5 68.8
Rec/g
5.2
▲ L5 5.8
Tgt/g
7.9
▲ L5 8.8
Rec TD/g
0.12
▲ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 76% | 100% | 100% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 41% | 80% | 56% | 25% |
| 59.5 | 29% | 60% | 44% | 13% |
| 69.5 | 29% | 60% | 44% | 13% |
| 79.5 | 12% | 20% | 22% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 12% | 20% | 22% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 88% |
| 4.5 | 59% | 80% | 89% | 25% |
| 5.5 | 41% | 60% | 56% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 18% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 88% | 100% | 89% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 65% | 100% | 78% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 20% | 33% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 18% | 20% | 22% | 13% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
27%
Air-yards share
36%
Rec EPA/game
-11.0
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
63.9
9 g
Away
41.4
8 g
In wins
49.0
9 g
In losses
58.1
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ BUF | L 17-47 | -4.5 | 43 | 9 | 6 | 40 | 0 | 47 | 4 | 26% |
| 1 | vs MIA | L 16-17 | +3.5 | 43.5 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 63 | 20 | 24% |
| 2 | @ NYJ | W 25-6 | +5.5 | 43 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 57 | 15 | 21% |
| 3 | vs NO | L 13-28 | +3 | 44 | 14 | 9 | 94 | 0 | 173 | 15 | 27% |
| 4 | vs TB | L 17-19 | -6 | 49.5 | 12 | 8 | 70 | 0 | 68 | 23 | 29% |
| 5 | @ HOU | W 25-22 | +8 | 39.5 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 0 | 59 | 22 | 18% |
| 6 | vs DAL | L 29-35 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 48 | 2 | 29% |
| 7 | vs NYJ | W 54-13 | +7 | 43 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 66 | 14 | 18% |
| 8 | @ LAC | W 27-24 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 9 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 85 | 11 | 26% |
| 9 | @ CAR | W 24-6 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 22% |
| 10 | vs CLE | W 45-7 | +2.5 | 45.5 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 16% |
| 11 | @ ATL | W 25-0 | +7 | 47.5 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 54 | 4 | 23% |
| 12 | vs TEN | W 36-13 | +7.5 | 43 | 8 | 5 | 98 | 0 | 121 | 27 | 25% |
| 15 | @ IND | L 17-27 | +1 | 46 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 122 | 12 | 27% |
| 16 | vs BUF | L 21-33 | +1 | 43.5 | 8 | 6 | 59 | 0 | 90 | 26 | 26% |
| 17 | vs JAX | W 50-10 | +17.5 | 42 | 8 | 8 | 73 | 1 | 60 | 13 | 24% |
| 18 | @ MIA | L 24-33 | +6 | 41 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 0 | 88 | 3 | 27% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).