At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
50.4
▼ L5 43.2
Rec/g
4.4
▼ L5 3.8
Tgt/g
6.6
▼ L5 6.0
Rec TD/g
0.50
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 63% | 60% | 56% | 71% |
| 49.5 | 50% | 40% | 56% | 43% |
| 59.5 | 38% | 20% | 56% | 14% |
| 69.5 | 25% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| 79.5 | 13% | 0% | 11% | 14% |
| 89.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 69% | 80% | 67% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 40% | 56% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 40% | 56% | 43% |
| 5.5 | 38% | 20% | 33% | 43% |
| 6.5 | 25% | 0% | 22% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 75% | 80% | 78% | 71% |
| 6.5 | 44% | 20% | 44% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 31% | 20% | 22% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 13% | 0% | 11% | 14% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
19%
Air-yards share
38%
Rec EPA/game
6.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
53.0
9 g
Away
47.1
7 g
In wins
51.4
8 g
In losses
49.5
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ DEN | W 17-16 | -3 | 43 | 10 | 9 | 81 | 2 | 69 | 17 | 38% |
| 3 | vs PIT | L 18-23 | +3 | 43.5 | 12 | 7 | 85 | 0 | 154 | 14 | 27% |
| 4 | @ LAC | L 17-24 | -7 | 49 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 40 | 9 | 11% |
| 5 | vs GB | W 17-13 | +1 | 45 | 10 | 7 | 75 | 1 | 92 | 19 | 34% |
| 6 | vs NE | W 21-17 | +3 | 41.5 | 7 | 5 | 61 | 1 | 79 | 10 | 23% |
| 7 | @ CHI | L 12-30 | +2.5 | 38.5 | 13 | 7 | 50 | 1 | 135 | 9 | 29% |
| 8 | @ DET | L 14-26 | -7 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 5% |
| 9 | vs NYG | W 30-6 | +1 | 38.5 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 0 | 48 | 26 | 21% |
| 10 | vs NYJ | W 16-12 | -1 | 35.5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 8% |
| 11 | @ MIA | L 13-20 | -14 | 44.5 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 64 | 16 | 13% |
| 12 | vs KC | L 17-31 | -9 | 42.5 | 7 | 6 | 79 | 1 | 62 | 28 | 22% |
| 14 | vs MIN | L 0-3 | -3 | 40.5 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 21% |
| 15 | vs LAC | W 63-21 | +3 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 1 | 34 | 13 | 12% |
| 16 | @ KC | W 20-14 | -11 | 40.5 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 66 | 26 | 26% |
| 17 | @ IND | L 20-23 | -3.5 | 42.5 | 10 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 69 | 18 | 22% |
| 18 | vs DEN | W 27-14 | +3.5 | 37.5 | 5 | 3 | 61 | 1 | 83 | 10 | 19% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).