At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
49.6
▲ L5 68.0
Rec/g
3.9
▲ L5 5.0
Tgt/g
5.5
▲ L5 7.2
Rec TD/g
0.13
▲ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 60% | 80% | 71% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 33% | 60% | 43% | 25% |
| 59.5 | 20% | 40% | 43% | 0% |
| 69.5 | 20% | 40% | 43% | 0% |
| 79.5 | 20% | 40% | 43% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 20% | 40% | 43% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 73% | 80% | 86% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 80% | 86% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 40% | 43% | 0% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 40% | 29% | 0% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 40% | 29% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 13% | 40% | 29% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 60% | 60% | 71% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 27% | 60% | 29% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 20% | 60% | 29% | 13% |
| 10.5 | 7% | 20% | 14% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
24%
Air-yards share
43%
Rec EPA/game
-8.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
73.0
7 g
Away
29.1
8 g
In wins
82.0
6 g
In losses
28.0
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs JAX | W 20-17 | +3.5 | 49.5 | 5 | 5 | 109 | 0 | 72 | 37 | 14% |
| 2 | vs BUF | L 10-31 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 4 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 29 | 12 | 11% |
| 3 | @ SEA | L 3-24 | -4 | 41.5 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 16% |
| 4 | vs TEN | L 12-31 | +2.5 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 37 | 23 | 29% |
| 5 | @ NE | W 15-10 | +2 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 83 | 4 | 26% |
| 7 | @ IND | L 10-16 | -3 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 9% |
| 8 | vs ARI | L 27-28 | +4 | 46.5 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 49 | 23 | 16% |
| 9 | @ BUF | L 27-30 | -6.5 | 49 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 1 | 19 | -23 | 7% |
| 10 | @ LA | W 23-15 | -2.5 | 49.5 | 6 | 3 | 57 | 0 | 77 | 16 | 21% |
| 11 | vs LV | W 34-19 | +8 | 43.5 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 28 | 16 | 9% |
| 12 | vs NE | W 34-15 | +7.5 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 144 | 1 | 103 | 44 | 23% |
| 13 | @ GB | L 17-30 | -3.5 | 47.5 | 4 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 46 | 7 | 9% |
| 14 | vs NYJ | W 32-26 | +6.5 | 45 | 12 | 9 | 99 | 0 | 109 | 50 | 27% |
| 15 | @ HOU | L 12-20 | -2.5 | 46.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 5% |
| 18 | @ NYJ | L 20-32 | -1.5 | 39.5 | 9 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 119 | 4 | 24% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).