At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
77.8
▼ L5 76.8
Rec/g
4.3
▼ L5 3.6
Tgt/g
6.9
▼ L5 5.4
Rec TD/g
0.44
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 78% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| 49.5 | 67% | 60% | 88% | 50% |
| 59.5 | 61% | 40% | 88% | 40% |
| 69.5 | 50% | 40% | 63% | 40% |
| 79.5 | 50% | 40% | 63% | 40% |
| 89.5 | 33% | 40% | 38% | 30% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 80% | 100% | 70% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 40% | 100% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 39% | 40% | 50% | 30% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 0% | 13% | 20% |
| 6.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 7.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 89% | 80% | 100% | 80% |
| 6.5 | 39% | 20% | 25% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 22% | 0% | 25% | 20% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
19%
Air-yards share
16%
Rec EPA/game
3.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
90.8
8 g
Away
67.4
10 g
In wins
90.7
9 g
In losses
64.9
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ BUF | L 31-34 | -14 | 44 | 7 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 151 | 6 | 17% |
| 1 | vs NE | W 20-7 | +3 | 47 | 5 | 4 | 69 | 1 | 52 | 30 | 16% |
| 2 | @ BAL | W 42-38 | -3 | 44 | 19 | 11 | 171 | 2 | 180 | 86 | 38% |
| 3 | vs BUF | W 21-19 | -4 | 54 | 6 | 4 | 102 | 0 | 103 | 15 | 30% |
| 4 | @ CIN | L 15-27 | -4 | 48.5 | 5 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 53 | 20 | 14% |
| 5 | @ NYJ | L 17-40 | +3 | 46 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 15 | 12 | 13% |
| 6 | vs MIN | L 16-24 | -3 | 45 | 10 | 6 | 129 | 0 | 111 | 67 | 22% |
| 7 | vs PIT | W 16-10 | +7.5 | 44.5 | 5 | 4 | 88 | 0 | 58 | 36 | 14% |
| 8 | @ DET | W 31-27 | +3.5 | 52 | 9 | 8 | 106 | 2 | 89 | 16 | 26% |
| 9 | @ CHI | W 35-32 | +4 | 46 | 7 | 5 | 85 | 1 | 118 | 17 | 24% |
| 10 | vs CLE | W 39-17 | +3 | 49 | 5 | 4 | 66 | 0 | 65 | 13 | 15% |
| 12 | vs HOU | W 30-15 | +14 | 47 | 10 | 5 | 85 | 0 | 171 | 12 | 26% |
| 13 | @ SF | L 17-33 | -4.5 | 46 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 81 | 1 | 15% |
| 14 | @ LAC | L 17-23 | +3 | 54.5 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 53 | 17 | 17% |
| 15 | @ BUF | L 29-32 | -7 | 44 | 7 | 3 | 114 | 1 | 114 | 48 | 23% |
| 16 | vs GB | L 20-26 | +3.5 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 143 | 1 | 72 | 83 | 25% |
| 17 | @ NE | L 21-23 | -3 | 41.5 | 5 | 3 | 52 | 0 | 50 | 23 | 13% |
| 18 | vs NYJ | W 11-6 | +3.5 | 37.5 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 30 | 14 | 19% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).