At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
69.7
▲ L5 87.4
Rec/g
4.9
▲ L5 5.6
Tgt/g
7.3
▲ L5 7.4
Rec TD/g
0.27
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 87% | 100% | 86% | 88% |
| 49.5 | 73% | 100% | 86% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 47% | 60% | 43% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 40% | 60% | 43% | 38% |
| 79.5 | 27% | 40% | 29% | 25% |
| 89.5 | 20% | 40% | 29% | 13% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 87% | 80% | 86% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 80% | 80% | 86% | 75% |
| 4.5 | 53% | 80% | 71% | 38% |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% | 57% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 27% | 40% | 43% | 13% |
| 7.5 | 13% | 40% | 14% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 93% | 80% | 86% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 53% | 80% | 86% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 27% | 20% | 57% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 7% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
11%
Air-yards share
19%
Rec EPA/game
1.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
76.1
7 g
Away
64.0
8 g
In wins
78.4
10 g
In losses
52.2
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ KC | L 7-26 | -4.5 | 43.5 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 86 | 0 | 13% |
| 1 | @ LAC | W 36-34 | -3 | 50.5 | 5 | 4 | 78 | 0 | 70 | 38 | 11% |
| 2 | @ NE | W 24-17 | +2 | 46.5 | 6 | 4 | 86 | 0 | 72 | 47 | 21% |
| 4 | @ BUF | L 20-48 | -2.5 | 53 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 30 | 22 | 15% |
| 5 | vs NYG | W 31-16 | +12.5 | 47.5 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 31 | 26 | 36% |
| 6 | vs CAR | W 42-21 | +14 | 47.5 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 1 | 99 | 16 | 30% |
| 7 | @ PHI | L 17-31 | -3 | 52 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 0 | 48 | 15 | 19% |
| 8 | vs NE | W 31-17 | +7.5 | 46.5 | 12 | 7 | 121 | 1 | 132 | 42 | 27% |
| 9 | @ KC | L 14-21 | -1 | 51 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 98 | 8 | 18% |
| 11 | vs LV | W 20-13 | +14 | 44.5 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 0 | 91 | 35 | 22% |
| 12 | @ NYJ | W 34-13 | +9.5 | 40 | 8 | 8 | 114 | 0 | 79 | 35 | 29% |
| 13 | @ WAS | W 45-15 | +8.5 | 50 | 8 | 5 | 52 | 0 | 91 | 29 | 32% |
| 14 | vs TEN | L 27-28 | +14 | 45 | 8 | 6 | 79 | 0 | 62 | 29 | 24% |
| 15 | vs NYJ | W 30-0 | +7.5 | 36 | 9 | 8 | 142 | 1 | 79 | 72 | 35% |
| 16 | vs DAL | W 22-20 | +1.5 | 48.5 | 4 | 1 | 50 | 0 | 69 | 7 | 11% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).