At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
63.4
▲ L5 78.6
Rec/g
6.5
▲ L5 7.2
Tgt/g
8.8
▲ L5 9.4
Rec TD/g
0.38
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 75% | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| 49.5 | 63% | 60% | 63% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 56% | 60% | 63% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 38% | 60% | 50% | 25% |
| 79.5 | 31% | 60% | 50% | 13% |
| 89.5 | 19% | 60% | 25% | 13% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 81% | 80% | 88% | 75% |
| 4.5 | 63% | 80% | 75% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 56% | 60% | 63% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 50% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| 7.5 | 44% | 60% | 38% | 50% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 94% | 100% | 88% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 75% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 60% | 38% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 40% | 13% | 50% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
33%
Air-yards share
25%
Rec EPA/game
1.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
70.3
8 g
Away
56.6
8 g
In wins
77.0
8 g
In losses
49.9
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ NE | W 17-16 | -3.5 | 43.5 | 5 | 4 | 61 | 1 | 49 | 25 | 19% |
| 2 | vs BUF | L 0-35 | -3.5 | 48 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 19% |
| 3 | @ LV | L 28-31 | -4 | 45 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 0 | 40 | 30 | 28% |
| 4 | vs IND | L 17-27 | +2.5 | 41.5 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 18 | 20 | 13% |
| 5 | @ TB | L 17-45 | -11 | 48 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 29 | 18 | 15% |
| 6 | @ JAX | L 20-23 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 13 | 10 | 70 | 2 | 110 | 37 | 28% |
| 7 | vs ATL | L 28-30 | -1.5 | 48.5 | 8 | 7 | 83 | 0 | 53 | 32 | 20% |
| 8 | @ BUF | L 11-26 | -15 | 48.5 | 11 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 100 | 12 | 31% |
| 9 | vs HOU | W 17-9 | +4 | 45 | 10 | 8 | 83 | 0 | 103 | 19 | 25% |
| 10 | vs BAL | W 22-10 | -8.5 | 46.5 | 6 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 85 | 6 | 18% |
| 11 | @ NYJ | W 24-17 | +3.5 | 44.5 | 9 | 8 | 65 | 0 | 56 | 30 | 26% |
| 12 | vs CAR | W 33-10 | -1 | 41 | 10 | 9 | 137 | 1 | 82 | 67 | 32% |
| 13 | vs NYG | W 20-9 | +6.5 | 40 | 11 | 9 | 90 | 0 | 87 | 19 | 27% |
| 16 | @ NO | W 20-3 | +3 | 37.5 | 12 | 10 | 92 | 1 | 69 | 57 | 46% |
| 17 | @ TEN | L 3-34 | -3 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 63 | 13 | 18% |
| 18 | vs NE | W 33-24 | -6 | 41 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 30 | 18 | 33% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).