At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
289.3
▲ L5 316.2
Pass TD/g
2.53
▲ L5 2.60
Comp/g
27.1
▲ L5 31.6
Att/g
38.4
▲ L5 41.2
INT/g
0.53
▲ L5 0.80
Rush yds/g
11.8
▼ L5 8.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 88% | 100% | 88% | 89% |
| 224.5 | 82% | 100% | 88% | 78% |
| 249.5 | 71% | 100% | 75% | 67% |
| 274.5 | 47% | 60% | 50% | 44% |
| 299.5 | 41% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 100% | 88% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 76% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 80% | 75% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| 19.5 | 88% | 100% | 100% | 78% |
| 21.5 | 82% | 100% | 88% | 78% |
| 23.5 | 65% | 80% | 75% | 56% |
| 25.5 | 65% | 80% | 75% | 56% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 47% | 60% | 50% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
-1.4
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
292.3
8 g
Away
286.7
9 g
In wins
272.6
9 g
In losses
308.1
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs NE | L 10-16 | +8 | 40.5 | 21 | 29 | 164 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 162 | -4.2 |
| 2 | @ KC | L 25-26 | -6.5 | 47.5 | 23 | 36 | 258 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 225 | 3.9 |
| 3 | vs WAS | L 33-38 | +7.5 | 46 | 29 | 38 | 324 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 283 | 17.0 |
| 4 | @ CAR | W 34-24 | +4.5 | 47 | 22 | 31 | 232 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 172 | 9.0 |
| 5 | vs BAL | L 38-41 | -2.5 | 48.5 | 30 | 39 | 392 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 322 | 23.6 |
| 6 | @ NYG | W 17-7 | +4.5 | 46 | 19 | 28 | 208 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 156 | -0.5 |
| 7 | @ CLE | W 21-14 | +5.5 | 42 | 15 | 25 | 181 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 262 | -1.8 |
| 8 | vs PHI | L 17-37 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 26 | 37 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 297 | 6.6 |
| 9 | vs LV | W 41-24 | +8 | 45 | 27 | 39 | 251 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 7.0 |
| 10 | @ BAL | L 34-35 | -6 | 53 | 34 | 56 | 428 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 488 | 13.2 |
| 11 | @ LAC | L 27-34 | -1 | 48 | 28 | 50 | 356 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 512 | 6.4 |
| 13 | vs PIT | L 38-44 | +3 | 46 | 28 | 38 | 309 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 226 | -1.2 |
| 14 | @ DAL | W 27-20 | +5 | 51 | 33 | 44 | 369 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 280 | 10.6 |
| 15 | @ TEN | W 37-27 | +6 | 46.5 | 26 | 37 | 271 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 7.1 |
| 16 | vs CLE | W 24-6 | +10 | 46.5 | 23 | 30 | 252 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 245 | 3.1 |
| 17 | vs DEN | W 30-24 | +3.5 | 50.5 | 39 | 49 | 412 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 343 | 18.6 |
| 18 | @ PIT | W 19-17 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 37 | 46 | 277 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 189 | -1.4 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).