At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
273.5
▼ L5 263.0
Pass TD/g
2.05
▲ L5 2.40
Comp/g
25.6
▲ L5 27.0
Att/g
37.6
▲ L5 39.4
INT/g
0.74
▲ L5 0.80
Rush yds/g
17.2
▼ L5 15.8
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 95% | 100% | 100% | 91% |
| 224.5 | 68% | 60% | 63% | 73% |
| 249.5 | 53% | 40% | 50% | 55% |
| 274.5 | 42% | 40% | 50% | 36% |
| 299.5 | 26% | 20% | 25% | 27% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 80% | 63% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 40% | 13% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 18% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 19.5 | 95% | 80% | 88% | 100% |
| 21.5 | 89% | 80% | 75% | 100% |
| 23.5 | 63% | 80% | 50% | 73% |
| 25.5 | 32% | 40% | 25% | 36% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 42% | 60% | 25% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 20% | 13% | 27% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
-8.0
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
282.6
8 g
Away
266.8
11 g
In wins
281.4
14 g
In losses
251.2
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs BAL | W 24-17 | +7.5 | 40 | 23 | 32 | 209 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 195 | 4.7 |
| 20* | @ BUF | W 27-10 | -6 | 48.5 | 23 | 36 | 242 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 12.0 |
| 21* | @ KC | L 20-23 | -2 | 48.5 | 26 | 41 | 270 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 300 | -1.8 |
| 1 | vs PIT | L 20-23 | +7.5 | 44.5 | 33 | 53 | 338 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 372 | -17.2 |
| 2 | @ DAL | L 17-20 | +7.5 | 42 | 24 | 36 | 199 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 201 | -0.1 |
| 3 | @ NYJ | W 27-12 | +6.5 | 46 | 23 | 36 | 275 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 279 | 16.4 |
| 4 | vs MIA | W 27-15 | +4 | 48.5 | 20 | 31 | 287 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 304 | 13.2 |
| 5 | @ BAL | L 17-19 | -3 | 47.5 | 24 | 35 | 217 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 120 | -4.3 |
| 6 | @ NO | W 30-26 | +3 | 42.5 | 28 | 37 | 300 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 228 | 10.7 |
| 7 | vs ATL | W 35-17 | +6.5 | 47.5 | 34 | 42 | 481 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 363 | 27.0 |
| 8 | @ CLE | L 13-32 | +3 | 45 | 25 | 35 | 232 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 200 | -9.2 |
| 9 | vs CAR | W 42-21 | +7 | 43 | 22 | 28 | 206 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 170 | 10.7 |
| 11 | @ PIT | W 37-30 | +3.5 | 39 | 24 | 39 | 355 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 303 | 12.7 |
| 12 | @ TEN | W 20-16 | +1 | 43 | 22 | 37 | 270 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 245 | 5.7 |
| 13 | vs KC | W 27-24 | -2.5 | 53 | 25 | 31 | 286 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 19.8 |
| 14 | vs CLE | W 23-10 | +4.5 | 47 | 18 | 33 | 239 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | -1.5 |
| 15 | @ TB | W 34-23 | +3.5 | 47 | 27 | 39 | 200 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 209 | 2.8 |
| 16 | @ NE | W 22-18 | +3 | 42 | 40 | 52 | 375 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 334 | 9.3 |
| 18 | vs BAL | W 27-16 | +11 | 39 | 25 | 42 | 215 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 358 | -8.0 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).