At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
285.8
▲ L5 355.2
Pass TD/g
1.95
▲ L5 2.40
Comp/g
23.1
▲ L5 26.2
Att/g
33.1
▲ L5 36.2
INT/g
0.80
▼ L5 0.40
Rush yds/g
7.5
▲ L5 11.0
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 80% | 80% | 91% | 67% |
| 224.5 | 75% | 80% | 91% | 56% |
| 249.5 | 70% | 80% | 82% | 56% |
| 274.5 | 45% | 80% | 64% | 22% |
| 299.5 | 35% | 80% | 45% | 22% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 100% | 91% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 60% | 64% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 40% | 18% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 40% | 18% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 90% | 80% | 100% | 78% |
| 19.5 | 80% | 80% | 100% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 80% | 82% | 33% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 80% | 73% | 11% |
| 25.5 | 25% | 40% | 36% | 11% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 55% | 20% | 36% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 27% | 11% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
23.9
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
317.1
11 g
Away
247.6
9 g
In wins
290.5
13 g
In losses
277.1
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs LV | W 26-19 | +6 | 48.5 | 24 | 34 | 244 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 291 | 10.0 |
| 20* | @ TEN | W 19-16 | -4 | 48.5 | 28 | 37 | 348 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 161 | -5.0 |
| 21* | @ KC | W 27-24 | -7 | 54.5 | 23 | 38 | 250 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 2.9 |
| 22* | vs LA | L 20-23 | -4.5 | 48.5 | 22 | 33 | 263 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 214 | -7.7 |
| 1 | vs MIN | W 27-24 | -3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 261 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 220 | 4.2 |
| 2 | @ CHI | L 17-20 | -2 | 44.5 | 19 | 30 | 207 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 227 | -9.0 |
| 3 | @ PIT | W 24-10 | -2.5 | 42.5 | 14 | 18 | 172 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 160 | 8.3 |
| 4 | vs JAX | W 24-21 | +7.5 | 46 | 25 | 32 | 348 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 17.6 |
| 5 | vs GB | L 22-25 | -2 | 50 | 26 | 38 | 281 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 306 | 1.3 |
| 6 | @ DET | W 34-11 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 19 | 29 | 271 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 216 | 10.5 |
| 7 | @ BAL | W 41-17 | -6.5 | 45.5 | 23 | 38 | 416 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 389 | 19.8 |
| 8 | @ NYJ | L 31-34 | +11.5 | 43.5 | 21 | 34 | 259 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 210 | -0.3 |
| 9 | vs CLE | L 16-41 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 28 | 40 | 282 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 376 | -14.3 |
| 11 | @ LV | W 32-13 | +1 | 50.5 | 20 | 29 | 148 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 220 | 2.8 |
| 12 | vs PIT | W 41-10 | +3.5 | 43.5 | 20 | 24 | 190 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 176 | 2.3 |
| 13 | vs LAC | L 22-41 | +2.5 | 49.5 | 24 | 40 | 300 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 394 | -6.0 |
| 14 | vs SF | L 23-26 | -2.5 | 49 | 25 | 34 | 348 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 291 | 10.9 |
| 15 | @ DEN | W 15-10 | -3 | 45 | 15 | 22 | 157 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 161 | -4.8 |
| 16 | vs BAL | W 41-21 | +7.5 | 43 | 37 | 46 | 525 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 383 | 32.5 |
| 17 | vs KC | W 34-31 | -3.5 | 51 | 30 | 39 | 446 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 263 | 23.9 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).