At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
230.9
▲ L5 252.8
Pass TD/g
1.50
▲ L5 2.00
Comp/g
24.4
▼ L5 24.2
Att/g
36.5
▼ L5 33.6
INT/g
0.60
■ L5 0.60
Rush yds/g
8.8
▲ L5 15.6
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 60% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| 224.5 | 50% | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| 249.5 | 50% | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| 274.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% | 40% |
| 299.5 | 30% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 70% | 100% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 80% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| 19.5 | 80% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 70% | 80% | 100% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 70% | 80% | 100% | 40% |
| 25.5 | 60% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 50% | 40% | 80% | 20% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
2.9
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
272.2
5 g
Away
189.6
5 g
In wins
278.4
5 g
In losses
183.4
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ CLE | L 3-24 | +1 | 46.5 | 14 | 31 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 221 | -18.6 |
| 2 | vs BAL | L 24-27 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 27 | 41 | 222 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 1.6 |
| 3 | vs LA | W 19-16 | +3 | 45.5 | 26 | 49 | 259 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 344 | -6.4 |
| 4 | @ TEN | L 3-27 | +2.5 | 41.5 | 20 | 30 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 137 | -8.8 |
| 5 | @ ARI | W 34-20 | +3 | 45.5 | 36 | 46 | 317 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 300 | 9.5 |
| 6 | vs SEA | W 17-13 | +3 | 45.5 | 24 | 35 | 185 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 202 | -3.3 |
| 8 | @ SF | W 31-17 | -4 | 44 | 28 | 32 | 283 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 181 | 13.4 |
| 9 | vs BUF | W 24-18 | +1.5 | 51 | 31 | 44 | 348 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 12.7 |
| 10 | vs HOU | L 27-30 | +5.5 | 46 | 27 | 40 | 347 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 352 | 3.2 |
| 11 | @ BAL | L 20-34 | -4 | 46.5 | 11 | 17 | 101 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 100 | 2.9 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).