Justin Watson

Justin Watson

Kansas City Chiefs · WR · Yr 7

6-2215 lbPennsylvaniaDraft R5 P7 (2018)

At a glance

Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.

Rec yds/g

17.0

L5 14.2

Rec/g

1.3

L5 0.8

Tgt/g

1.9

L5 2.0

Rec TD/g

0.12

L5 0.40

Prop hit rates

How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.

Receiving yards

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
39.512%20%14%10%
49.56%20%0%10%
59.56%20%0%10%
69.50%0%0%0%
79.50%0%0%0%
89.50%0%0%0%

Receptions

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
2.512%0%14%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%
5.50%0%0%0%
6.50%0%0%0%
7.50%0%0%0%

Targets

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
4.50%0%0%0%
6.50%0%0%0%
8.50%0%0%0%
10.50%0%0%0%

Receiving yards · game by game

Usage & efficiency

Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.

Target share

18%

Air-yards share

34%

Rec EPA/game

-2.8

Splits

Receiving yards per game.

Home

14.6

7 g

Away

18.7

10 g

In wins

18.4

14 g

In losses

10.3

3 g

Game log

Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.

WkOppResultSpreadTotalTgtRecYdsTDAirYdYACTgt%
21*vs BUFW 32-29+1.549.5000000
22*@ PHIL 22-40+1.548.5000000
1vs BALW 27-20+3461125015104%
2vs CINW 26-25+6.547.5222201399%
3@ ATLW 22-17+346211303206%
4@ LACW 17-10+7.541.53227029411%
7@ SFW 28-18-2.547.51180534%
8@ LVW 27-20+9423333020139%
9vs TBW 30-24+945.543430791610%
10vs DENW 16-14+7.542.52260425%
11@ BUFL 21-30-2.546.5222602516%
12@ CARW 30-27+1143211502016%
13vs LVW 19-17+13.54231616907%
15@ CLEW 21-7+4.541.510005103%
16vs HOUW 27-19+3.542.510003202%
17@ PITW 29-10+343.5226015195%
18@ DENL 0-38-10.540.5315041018%

* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).