Justin Watson

Justin Watson

Kansas City Chiefs · WR · Yr 5

6-2215 lbPennsylvaniaDraft R5 P7 (2018)

At a glance

Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.

Rec yds/g

18.2

L5 18.8

Rec/g

0.9

L5 0.4

Tgt/g

1.9

L5 2.4

Rec TD/g

0.11

L5 0.00

Prop hit rates

How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.

Receiving yards

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
39.516%20%11%20%
49.516%20%11%20%
59.511%20%0%20%
69.50%0%0%0%
79.50%0%0%0%
89.50%0%0%0%

Receptions

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
2.55%0%0%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%
5.50%0%0%0%
6.50%0%0%0%
7.50%0%0%0%

Targets

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
4.55%0%11%0%
6.50%0%0%0%
8.50%0%0%0%
10.50%0%0%0%

Receiving yards · game by game

Usage & efficiency

Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.

Target share

8%

Air-yards share

33%

Rec EPA/game

4.4

Splits

Receiving yards per game.

Home

19.3

9 g

Away

17.1

10 g

In wins

20.6

16 g

In losses

5.0

3 g

Game log

Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.

WkOppResultSpreadTotalTgtRecYdsTDAirYdYACTgt%
20*vs JAXW 27-20+1052.5111201203%
22*@ PHIW 38-35-151221801718%
1@ ARIW 44-21+6541000203%
2vs LACW 27-24+452.5225014466%
3@ INDL 17-20+4.55110001503%
4@ TBW 41-31-146.510002603%
5vs LVW 30-29+7.551.511100552%
6vs BUFL 20-24-2.55410002203%
7@ SFW 44-23+1492141906%
9vs TENW 20-17+1445523707108%
10vs JAXW 27-17+1051.5111201203%
11@ LACW 30-27+5.552.543670851313%
12vs LAW 26-10+16.542222602245%
13@ CINL 24-27+2.553111501414%
14@ DENW 34-28+8.544.520006805%
15@ HOUW 30-24+14.548.520006505%
16vs SEAW 24-10+10.550.5400065015%
17vs DENW 27-24+13.546212703705%
18@ LVW 31-13+951.52167075318%

* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).