Justin Watson

Justin Watson

Kansas City Chiefs · WR · Yr 6

6-2215 lbPennsylvaniaDraft R5 P7 (2018)

At a glance

Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.

Rec yds/g

28.9

L5 25.6

Rec/g

1.7

L5 1.4

Tgt/g

3.3

L5 2.8

Rec TD/g

0.16

L5 0.20

Prop hit rates

How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.

Receiving yards

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
39.542%20%50%33%
49.526%0%30%22%
59.55%0%0%11%
69.50%0%0%0%
79.50%0%0%0%
89.50%0%0%0%

Receptions

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
2.521%20%30%11%
3.511%20%20%0%
4.55%0%10%0%
5.50%0%0%0%
6.50%0%0%0%
7.50%0%0%0%

Targets

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
4.526%20%40%11%
6.55%0%10%0%
8.55%0%10%0%
10.55%0%10%0%

Receiving yards · game by game

Usage & efficiency

Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.

Target share

3%

Air-yards share

2%

Rec EPA/game

-0.8

Splits

Receiving yards per game.

Home

33.5

10 g

Away

23.9

9 g

In wins

25.3

14 g

In losses

39.2

5 g

Game log

Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.

WkOppResultSpreadTotalTgtRecYdsTDAirYdYACTgt%
19*vs MIAW 26-7+4.543.5222001916%
20*@ BUFW 27-24-2.545.510002005%
21*@ BALW 17-10-4.544211602256%
22*vs SFW 25-22-1.54753540711812%
1vs DETL 20-21+45342450102411%
2@ JAXW 17-9+3.550.553620119813%
3vs CHIW 41-10+1348325105138%
4@ NYJW 23-20+9.541.51150323%
5@ MINW 27-20+3.552.5325608528%
6vs DENW 19-8+10.547.510003003%
8@ DENL 9-24+745.5324207048%
9vs MIAW 21-14+1515215077418%
11vs PHIL 17-21+2.546115531142128%
12@ LVW 31-17+942.531313709%
14vs BUFL 17-20+249.5111801803%
15@ NEW 27-17+1039.5313108219%
16vs LVL 14-20+1140.56438159715%
17vs CINW 25-17+7.54631410491111%
18@ LACW 13-12-3.5351000403%

* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).