At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
224.1
▼ L5 190.2
Pass TD/g
1.33
▼ L5 1.20
Comp/g
20.9
▼ L5 16.8
Att/g
31.1
▼ L5 28.0
INT/g
0.83
▲ L5 1.00
Rush yds/g
8.2
▲ L5 11.6
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 72% | 60% | 78% | 67% |
| 224.5 | 61% | 60% | 78% | 44% |
| 249.5 | 39% | 40% | 56% | 22% |
| 274.5 | 28% | 20% | 44% | 11% |
| 299.5 | 11% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 60% | 89% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 40% | 67% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 20% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 78% | 60% | 78% | 78% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 60% | 67% | 67% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 40% | 67% | 56% |
| 23.5 | 33% | 20% | 44% | 22% |
| 25.5 | 22% | 20% | 33% | 11% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 56% | 60% | 44% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 40% | 22% | 22% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
1.5
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
249.1
9 g
Away
199.0
9 g
In wins
204.1
10 g
In losses
249.0
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ BUF | L 17-47 | -4.5 | 43 | 24 | 38 | 232 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 243 | 3.5 |
| 1 | vs MIA | L 16-17 | +3.5 | 43.5 | 29 | 39 | 281 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 12.5 |
| 2 | @ NYJ | W 25-6 | +5.5 | 43 | 22 | 30 | 186 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 140 | -4.4 |
| 3 | vs NO | L 13-28 | +3 | 44 | 30 | 51 | 270 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 633 | -16.9 |
| 4 | vs TB | L 17-19 | -6 | 49.5 | 31 | 40 | 275 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 206 | 2.5 |
| 5 | @ HOU | W 25-22 | +8 | 39.5 | 23 | 30 | 231 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 8.8 |
| 6 | vs DAL | L 29-35 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 15 | 21 | 229 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 172 | -4.3 |
| 7 | vs NYJ | W 54-13 | +7 | 43 | 24 | 36 | 307 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 268 | 15.4 |
| 8 | @ LAC | W 27-24 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 18 | 35 | 217 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 334 | -2.1 |
| 9 | @ CAR | W 24-6 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 12 | 18 | 139 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 101 | -3.6 |
| 10 | vs CLE | W 45-7 | +2.5 | 45.5 | 19 | 23 | 198 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 143 | 16.2 |
| 11 | @ ATL | W 25-0 | +7 | 47.5 | 22 | 26 | 207 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 162 | -2.6 |
| 12 | vs TEN | W 36-13 | +7.5 | 43 | 23 | 32 | 310 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 238 | 14.3 |
| 13 | @ BUF | W 14-10 | -3 | 40 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0.0 |
| 15 | @ IND | L 17-27 | +1 | 46 | 26 | 45 | 299 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 478 | -0.8 |
| 16 | vs BUF | L 21-33 | +1 | 43.5 | 14 | 32 | 145 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 314 | -3.1 |
| 17 | vs JAX | W 50-10 | +17.5 | 42 | 22 | 30 | 227 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 17.2 |
| 18 | @ MIA | L 24-33 | +6 | 41 | 20 | 30 | 261 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 243 | 1.5 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).